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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
    Once you get to 3/15, Mother Nature takes care of it for you within a couple of days or less….
  2. snowman19
    This winter in the NYC metro area (at least as far as snow is concerned) came to an end on 2/23 with the blizzard
  3. snowman19
    The super Ninos over the last 50+ years have all been east-based/East Pacific (1972-73, 1982-83, 1997-98), with the exception of 2015-16, which was basin-wide. There are no Modoki super El Niños
  4. snowman19
    I think it may take a super event to finally, at long last, completely flip and reshuffle the PAC. After the winter we just had, if we have to throw away one winter to an east-based, super El Niño and go back to the PAC of the early-mid 2000’s, I don’t think the people who love winter would be complaining
  5. snowman19
    If the new EPS is correct, it’s going to get very warm again the 1st week of April
  6. snowman19
    EPS is projecting a TC or possibly a pair/twin TC’s to develop within the big WWB. What happens with those could be very important in terms of how strong this El Niño gets down the road…..
  7. snowman19
    I let my Pivotal subscription expire on 3/15
  8. snowman19
    It’s going to snow again in NYC….you’re just going to have to wait until December. It’ll be here before you know it……
  9. snowman19
    Worse. More like their version of 2001-02. The warmth out there has been off the charts
  10. snowman19
    Denver has been in a relentless, unmitigated torch fest since November and it’s still going strong. Record shattering for 5 months in a row out there
  11. snowman19
    Eric Webb just got even more bullish, said that if we see TC’s spin up along this record breaking WWB, it will seal the deal for a super El Niño. I think even more telling, is that you have Paul Roundy, who is the furthest thing from a hypester, saying this has a good chance to be the strongest El Niño in history, he also says this is developing as the most east-based/East Pacific event we’ve seen since the 1997-98 super Nino
  12. snowman19
    That’s what I was thinking too….it may take a historic ENSO event to finally flip the unrelenting, stagnant Pacific. It’s been over 20 years (1997-98) since we’ve had a true, “super”, east-based/East Pacific El Niño. I guess the ‘we’re due’ argument would fit here, since 2015-16 was a basin-wide event, not east-based/EP
  13. snowman19
  14. snowman19
    Yea, if this one ends up discharging all of that record breaking, pent up WPAC warmth….holy s*it. Paul would not be exaggerating, we would be talking a historic level El Niño. This one is also developing as a “classic”, canonical east-based/East Pacific (EP) event like 1997-98 did, which has been a staple of the strongest El Niños we’ve ever seen
  15. snowman19
    All i have to say is wow
  16. snowman19
    This should be in banter. 300+ hours on an operational model run
  17. snowman19
    We have had a September sun angle since 3/13
  18. snowman19
    Tomorrow is the Equinox. Let it go
  19. snowman19
    I remember that well. The hype from JB in mid-late February was off the charts that winter. He was calling for a record-breaking cold and snowy March in the east, “March Madness!” and was using 1888, 1958, 1960 and 1993 as the analogs
  20. snowman19
  21. snowman19
    An anafront at day 10 on an operational model at the tail end of March. ROTFLMFAOOOO!!!
  22. snowman19
    It looks like an early final warming this year, yes
  23. snowman19
    It would appear that the trend we saw since November of the models getting colder as we get closer in time has finally ended this month. Sunday continues to warm on the models. Last week overperformed too
  24. snowman19
    It wouldn’t surprise me if some areas get into the 70’s on Sunday
  25. snowman19
    Yep and there’s no -NAO/-AO blocking to stop it (ridge/warmth coming east) either
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