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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. I let my Pivotal subscription expire on 3/15
  2. It’s going to snow again in NYC….you’re just going to have to wait until December. It’ll be here before you know it……
  3. Worse. More like their version of 2001-02. The warmth out there has been off the charts
  4. Denver has been in a relentless, unmitigated torch fest since November and it’s still going strong. Record shattering for 5 months in a row out there
  5. Eric Webb just got even more bullish, said that if we see TC’s spin up along this record breaking WWB, it will seal the deal for a super El Niño. I think even more telling, is that you have Paul Roundy, who is the furthest thing from a hypester, saying this has a good chance to be the strongest El Niño in history, he also says this is developing as the most east-based/East Pacific event we’ve seen since the 1997-98 super Nino
  6. That’s what I was thinking too….it may take a historic ENSO event to finally flip the unrelenting, stagnant Pacific. It’s been over 20 years (1997-98) since we’ve had a true, “super”, east-based/East Pacific El Niño. I guess the ‘we’re due’ argument would fit here, since 2015-16 was a basin-wide event, not east-based/EP
  7. Yea, if this one ends up discharging all of that record breaking, pent up WPAC warmth….holy s*it. Paul would not be exaggerating, we would be talking a historic level El Niño. This one is also developing as a “classic”, canonical east-based/East Pacific (EP) event like 1997-98 did, which has been a staple of the strongest El Niños we’ve ever seen
  8. This should be in banter. 300+ hours on an operational model run
  9. We have had a September sun angle since 3/13
  10. Tomorrow is the Equinox. Let it go
  11. I remember that well. The hype from JB in mid-late February was off the charts that winter. He was calling for a record-breaking cold and snowy March in the east, “March Madness!” and was using 1888, 1958, 1960 and 1993 as the analogs
  12. An anafront at day 10 on an operational model at the tail end of March. ROTFLMFAOOOO!!!
  13. It looks like an early final warming this year, yes
  14. It would appear that the trend we saw since November of the models getting colder as we get closer in time has finally ended this month. Sunday continues to warm on the models. Last week overperformed too
  15. It wouldn’t surprise me if some areas get into the 70’s on Sunday
  16. Yep and there’s no -NAO/-AO blocking to stop it (ridge/warmth coming east) either
  17. Eric Webb is gung ho on a super El Niño. All in. Even Paul Roundy is getting bullish on one. This should be an interesting one to see develop. One thing is for sure, regardless of strength, this one is at least going to develop as a very east-based/East Pacific event. The question then becomes does it stay east-based or go basin-wide?
  18. After what was basically wall to wall arctic cold from the end of November into the first couple of days of March, I’d say the overwhelming majority of people in the east are ready for spring now. The Equinox is only 4 days away
  19. We basically had wall to wall arctic cold from late November into the 1st couple of days of March. We had major snowstorms starting in December, a record breaking blizzard and months of constant snow cover. Also had frozen over lakes for months. By far and away the best winter since 2014-15. I can’t believe people are actually upset that it’s ending
  20. Just 13 days away at the end of March….and on an operational model….what could possibly go wrong?? Lol
  21. They absolutely have, you even admitted it in the ENSO thread @cmillzz
  22. The models have already begun to back off the blocking
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