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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
    This should be in banter. 300+ hours on an operational model run
  2. snowman19
    We have had a September sun angle since 3/13
  3. snowman19
    Tomorrow is the Equinox. Let it go
  4. snowman19
    I remember that well. The hype from JB in mid-late February was off the charts that winter. He was calling for a record-breaking cold and snowy March in the east, “March Madness!” and was using 1888, 1958, 1960 and 1993 as the analogs
  5. snowman19
  6. snowman19
    An anafront at day 10 on an operational model at the tail end of March. ROTFLMFAOOOO!!!
  7. snowman19
    It looks like an early final warming this year, yes
  8. snowman19
    It would appear that the trend we saw since November of the models getting colder as we get closer in time has finally ended this month. Sunday continues to warm on the models. Last week overperformed too
  9. snowman19
    It wouldn’t surprise me if some areas get into the 70’s on Sunday
  10. snowman19
    Yep and there’s no -NAO/-AO blocking to stop it (ridge/warmth coming east) either
  11. snowman19
    Eric Webb is gung ho on a super El Niño. All in. Even Paul Roundy is getting bullish on one. This should be an interesting one to see develop. One thing is for sure, regardless of strength, this one is at least going to develop as a very east-based/East Pacific event. The question then becomes does it stay east-based or go basin-wide?
  12. snowman19
    After what was basically wall to wall arctic cold from the end of November into the first couple of days of March, I’d say the overwhelming majority of people in the east are ready for spring now. The Equinox is only 4 days away
  13. snowman19
    We basically had wall to wall arctic cold from late November into the 1st couple of days of March. We had major snowstorms starting in December, a record breaking blizzard and months of constant snow cover. Also had frozen over lakes for months. By far and away the best winter since 2014-15. I can’t believe people are actually upset that it’s ending
  14. snowman19
    Just 13 days away at the end of March….and on an operational model….what could possibly go wrong?? Lol
  15. snowman19
    They absolutely have, you even admitted it in the ENSO thread @cmillzz
  16. snowman19
    The models have already begun to back off the blocking
  17. snowman19
    Letting my Pivotalwx subscription expire tonight. Not worth paying for it anymore. I’ll renew it again in mid-November like I normally do
  18. snowman19
    Thankfully normal highs are well in the 50’s in the NYC metro area now that we’re in spring, so those depicted negative departures are not actually “cold”
  19. snowman19
    300+ hour snowmap on the op GFS at the end of March. That deserves a double bun!! lmfaoooooo
  20. snowman19
    Is the Spring Equinox going to get delayed on Friday?
  21. snowman19
    As of yesterday, we now have a September sun angle. Climo is now fully in spring mode and length of day increases exponentially this month…..
  22. snowman19
    As of yesterday, we now have a September sun angle. Climo is now fully in spring mode and length of day increases exponentially this month…..
  23. snowman19
    It’s all hypothetical speculation at this point. Long, long way to go before we can say with any confidence if this is going to be a super El Niño event or not. Then, if (IF) it does in fact become a super event….is it east-based (82-83, 97-98)? Or basin-wide (15-16)? Paul Roundy is extremely confident that this El Niño at least STARTS as an east-based event regardless of strength, where it goes from there is anyone’s guess right now…..
  24. snowman19
    The 97-98 super Nino winter actually wasn’t a huge torch. It was just too warm to snow. There were a bunch of coastal storms with temps in the 30’s. The problem was it was extremely east-based, region 1+2 was over +4.0C, a secondary area of convective forcing formed there, which completely displaced the Aleutian Low over Alaska (++EPO) and the EPO floodgates were wide open all winter long with PAC air inundating Canada and the CONUS
  25. snowman19
    Eric Webb touched on this back in November. He said we were exactly following the previous winter precursor patterns that culminated in the super El Niño’s of 82-83, 97-98 and 15-16
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