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Metasequoia

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Everything posted by Metasequoia

  1. Metasequoia
    Freezing rain isn't so much fun. However, I think of sleet as low ratio snow that helps keep the snow pack around longer.
  2. Metasequoia
    QPF continuing to increase...
  3. Metasequoia
    6 to 10 inches of snow topped with a couple inches of sleet, followed by days below freezing... sounds good to me.
  4. Metasequoia
    Would the 18Z Icon be snow to sleet for NYC?
  5. Metasequoia
    If this storm underperforms regarding snow, I feel like the March 11ish 2017 storm ( Miller B also ) might be a decent analog. 12 to 20 inches of snow was initially forecasted for NYC, but the City received about a half foot of sleet because the upper low tucked in just east of the Jersey Shore and south of Long Island. Obviously this weekend's storm impacts a much larger portion of the US...
  6. Metasequoia
    Impressive model to model and run to run consistency, a few days out. Gives me some realistic hope...
  7. Metasequoia
    We are all loving the overnight trends, but we are still five days out from the first flakes. The more robust phasing seems to add extra complexity (and upside) to the forecast. How far north can this system get?
  8. Metasequoia
    FWIW, NAM 3K doesn't look as warm for the coast.
  9. Metasequoia
    Sticking to streets and sidewalks in Battery Park City...
  10. Metasequoia
    I wonder if the heavier than expected snow in NYC improves the chances of tomorrow's snow accumulating. Colder atmosphere and ground?
  11. Metasequoia
    FWIW - Latest RAP model run has the region catching most of both waves of snow this weekend... half a foot or so.
  12. Metasequoia
    It's been all snow in southern Manhattan from the start.
  13. Metasequoia
    Judging by the current temps and dewpoints around NYC, temps should drop to around freezing fairly quickly once the steady snow moves in.
  14. Metasequoia
    ...and eventually less snow. Not that anyone on this forum cares about that...
  15. Metasequoia
    Canadian has something interesting during this time frame. Storm signal on multiple models.
  16. Metasequoia
    That ULL looks so close to phasing on the NAM.
  17. Metasequoia
    Yeah, seems like modeling has improved a lot in 14 years.
  18. Metasequoia
  19. Metasequoia
    2nd eps panel
  20. Metasequoia
  21. Metasequoia
    A compromise between the Euro and Ukie would make everyone happy.
  22. Metasequoia
    Doesn't look like the models have lost it or neccearilly are about to. They all show a potent snowstorm for the midatlantic with varying tracks... giving warning level snow for the metro.
  23. Metasequoia
    As SeyMourSnow (NE forum) says... DC to Philly does really well with many of the differing storm evolutions. I think NYC does well too... maybe not as consistently, though. Kinda reminds me of the 2016 blizzard four days out.
  24. Metasequoia
    Post hour 135 woild be telling, yeah?
  25. Metasequoia
    Yeah... about perfect. Has that slow moving firehose off the Atlantic. Of course, wouldn't mind a 50 plus mile shift southeast though.
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