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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    We lose the blocking however Eastern Canada will become very cold and we would have a great cold source to tap into.
  2. EastonSN+
    I agree that the ensembles are starting to move away from a negative PNA which is odd given the proged mjo forcing per below. Although, I am not sure if that is phase two or three in the last frame.
  3. EastonSN+
    I agree that this coming event had a small window with a bit of Southeast ridging, however it still needed a phase and snow goose was the first to say days ago that this favored the southeast. The trough access has definitely been over us this month. Yes I want 80° weather now.
  4. EastonSN+
    Why would forky say we had a risk of cold and dry if it was a good look? It was a cold look for sure, however, as one met stated we were on the backside of a trough and that's why we were dry. Trough access is very important. In 2018 we had a record warm February with 80° temps and 5 1/2 in of snow.
  5. EastonSN+
    Was it a good look though? The trough access was over us during this time period, and forky warned that the period could easily be cold and dry. I think this was one of the thought extinct cold and dry weather patterns of the '70s and '80s that has somehow come back. I remember during the snowy period we thought coastal huggers until March 2017, and clippers were extinct and suddenly they're back. Well now that 1970s 1980s cold and dry pattern is back.
  6. EastonSN+
    It needed a perfect phase. Never good sign when the trough axis is over your head.
  7. EastonSN+
    Yep I'm at 2 inches now.
  8. EastonSN+
    I am happy for the Mid-Atlantic they have a real shot of having an above average snowfall winter.
  9. EastonSN+
    I think I heard before that if there is a high pressure to the north feeding in colder air the piece of shield will be expansive like 1996 however if there is a low to the north then the precip shield will not be as expansive. Perhaps I meant on this board can confirm or deny.
  10. EastonSN+
    GFS is a Little closer. I wonder why the precip shield is so tight.
  11. EastonSN+
    Here was 0z
  12. EastonSN+
    Geps has more left leaners now.
  13. EastonSN+
    It looks as though the geps also improved slightly.
  14. EastonSN+
  15. EastonSN+
  16. EastonSN+
    Can't shake the trough right over us
  17. EastonSN+
    Gefs looks good. Awaiting the geps
  18. EastonSN+
    At least Euro gave us a little bit more snow about an inch.
  19. EastonSN+
    Euro gets an inch into Southwest Connecticut.
  20. EastonSN+
    We need a repeat of 2015 where are the Euro was schooled
  21. EastonSN+
    Amazing how the gefs ticked slightly better. Will be interesting to see if the geps is slightly better as well.
  22. EastonSN+
    Interesting week 3 look.
  23. EastonSN+
  24. EastonSN+
    Okay I am not a met, however, wouldn't the decaying blocking in the AO and nao regions allow this to nudge a little North? Forky mentioned that our storm would happen as the block decays.
  25. EastonSN+
    Seems the northern system is stronger helping us. Also the weaker Southern low is not condensing precip shield.
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