Thanks for this at least the gefs tries to move the trough a little West and the geps does the same to a lesser extent.
On a side note I cannot remember when we have been on the backside of a trough like this for an extended period of time perhaps not since the eighties.
EPO flips negative again after a short positive time on the gefs.
PNA starts to relax and the block remains this looks like a better opportunity for us.
Yeah we are stuck in this decadal pattern unfortunately. Hopefully this shakes up in a couple years, however personally I can live without frigid cold as long as it's cold enough to snow.
All three ensemble suites look fine. At this point we need some sort of a shake up otherwise it's a Mid-Atlantic and southeast favorable pattern for snow.
There was also record high temperatures in the 80s as well it was a disaster all around for snowfall. Only five above average snowfall Winters for New York City in the 30-year period of 1970 through 1999.