EastonSN+

Only four times in recorded history, and one of them was 1888 one of the best of all time. I would pay almost anything to have a repeat of 1888 now.

I think it's worth mentioning that Central Park only had 4 one foot plus snow storms in March in recorded history. Getting a KU 1-ft Plus in March has never been common in Central Park, ever.

Like 2015 I do not consider this a bust. In 2015 I was supposed to get almost 3 ft and got 7 inches, and in this event was supposed to get one to two feet and got nine and a half inches. Disappointments but not a bust, even the city had a six to eight event out of this. To me a bust is like what Philadelphia was supposed to get in 2015 which was 6 to 12 inches and got zero.

I would sign up for a repeat of that in a heartbeat.

Would fit the theme from December of coating to 2-inch events.

Another decent hit for the Mid-Atlantic on this run.

With regards to the teleconnections the most consistent this season are a continued negative nao and negative EPO. More variability in the AO and potentially PNA.

Quick spike with the AO a strong storm signal?

Starting to see a decent wave in phase one.

If we do get the RNA, one difference as compared to last two years is that it does not look at this time that the trough would be too far west into far south into Baja. Delicate balance as we do not want a grinder effect.

If we do not lose that low, would a less intense low work as well?

What's hilarious is my childhood vacation spot Ocean City Maryland is going to do great with respect to average snowfall once again this year. Even they are doing better than us compared to average.

Having a coastal hugger and a mostly rain event would complete the 1980s profile of cold and dry and warm and wet lol.

Thunder snow in Kansas city! Hoping they reach 12 inches for the first time since 1962.

I hope this one works out

On the gefs the 50/50 low to the east is what we need to keep this from hugging too much or cutting. Something to watch. I kind of see what Chuck is saying about the nao when looking at Greenland. However that's definitely a negative AO.

Thanks for this as always however Storm chaser Chuck in the Middle Atlantic forum seems to think this will be a rain event. That being said they are south of us.

Litchfield county in Connecticut absolutely raked in that depiction.

Just your typical 971 on Long Island.

Found this when searching. It's odd when I grew up in the 1980s I always remember everybody complaining how warm the winters were and how El nino became a common phrase LOL. Global warming finally became a common topic during the eighties. "New York City's average winter temperature is characterized by daily highs that decrease from 49°F to 45°F, rarely falling below 26°F or exceeding 61°F. In January, the average daily temperature ranges from around 22°F to 38°F, but it's common for temperatures to drop below freezing, especially at night. New York's average annual temperature has warmed 3°F since 1970, and is projected to rise by another 3°F by 2080. The state is also expected to experience more days above 90°F and more heat waves in the future."

I do see what you're seeing as well, I just feel like 6 years is an extremely small sample size. If this continues then I can definitely be convinced and I am open-minded to it I just need more time and data. Living and experiencing the 1980s and 1990s have really given me pause as I remember them being very warm and snowless and that may be skewing my viewpoint now.

Looks like the axis of the trough is once again on top of us which is not good. Hoping we could potentially get an RNA to help pump the southeast ridge however with blocking that just may end up shredding any shortwave that gets up here.

Agreed, which is basically what the 1990s were, and how you pointed out that was the start of the high volatility time frame. A good sign for us though was we got a KU event just 3 years ago so not too far back in the rear view mirror and we did have a KU in 2018 and 2017 each March. My personal benchmark is 1970 through 1999 and I'm fairly confident we can beat that this decade. In any event this will be fun to watch and track.

For this decade I was using the four-year period starting with 2000 2021 which is what the table that's provided by the national weather service starts with. Seems they go from 0 for each decade instead of 9. We could start from 2018 2019 which would yield an average of 15.2667. time will tell however it is still early in the grand scheme of things.