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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Euro is painfully close but misses to the south. Still time for it to come north but right now our area minus a few posters are on the fringe. Let's see what today shows.
  2. Just saw that before I'm headed to bed. Look at the kuchera with ratios. This would shut down the city. Gfs is trending slowly toward the other models buts it's still south of most guidance.
  3. Latest trends look good. Not to mention a possible 1-3 Friday. We are now fully in Winter mode. I expect our thread will start to get active in the coming days.
  4. 0z gfs looks good. Every option is still on the table.
  5. Of course not but we seen things trend north lasts second more so than south. Suppression does happen but id say it's rarer than the warm nose pushing in and screwing us.
  6. Still a few days out but the 1/5 threat is looking better. Of course we still might have a rug pull happen.
  7. About as good of a mean we can see it this lead time. Gonna be some stress filled model watching I'm betting
  8. That look disappeared with the 12z. Teleconnections still look good but now we worry more about suppression than cutters.
  9. Looks like January is shaping up to be cold and possibly stormy. Doesnt mean we will get snow but the pattern looks very promising.
  10. Looks like the lake effect machine is shutting down. Good event for many. Looks like maybe atleast flakes flying around on Christmas eve at the very least. A white Christmas looks very probable for many.
  11. While everybody is focused on the lake effect rightfully so look at the GFS
  12. Long range still looks promising. I think a warning level storm would satisfy everybody's itch even if we don't reach our average
  13. Pleasant surprise this morning. Looks like we still have showers rolling through the area and then that Christmas eve wave could still drop another inch to give everybody a white Christmas. After that looks like the New Year we see a new pattern develop and then we can really start tracking winter events. I don't share your guys pessimism I think we atleast reach average totals this year.
  14. Something to watch is a sneaky little wave right around Christmas. After that we warm up due to the MJO but long range looks promising.
  15. Already at 3.6 officially for the season. Not a bad start for winter tbh. Who knows we might sneak a few more too before the month ends.
  16. I wouldn't be so sure. Long range in the next week or so looks a lot better on a lot of modeling. There's a threat just have to work out the details.
  17. Gfs has a decent look. Not a full on torch with 3 chances of snow with one of them being around Christmas.
  18. Unlike last night not staying up but appears like there's some good streamers coming down. May help Whitten everything up.
  19. Stalking? You are posting in my areas subforum. I don't stalk anybody. You know I'm just kidding when I joke around with you. You take everything personal. Anyway the winds were howling this morning and looks like we received around a half inch or so. Certainly feels like winter out there.
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