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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    All the potential possible but im not sold on the modeled amounts. I guess we shall see but Tuesday already looks like it's trending poorly.
  2. Rd9108
    Potential is there and I'll leave it at that. Won't really focus on any threats except that Tuesday wave and that's years away going by model time.
  3. Rd9108
    This is pretty crazy for a mean and all it means is there is gonna be plenty of chances.
  4. Rd9108
    Looks like there will be a brief warmup followed by us going into favorable phases again. So I fully expect winter to return. If you are looking for the next snow opportunity then next weekend is the next possible chance. Depending on how much the cold presses will determine if we get anything. After that is the warmup followed by phase 8 of the MJO.
  5. Rd9108
    You know it's a bad pattern for big snow when you see this
  6. Rd9108
  7. Rd9108
    Nam 3k kept showing those squalls so I'm assuming they will materialize. Btw this is a crazy map
  8. Rd9108
    Idk what we got just north of the city probaly 2 or 3 from the whole event. Nothing crazy but helps with the snowpack and let's see how low the temps go. Will we finally break -10. Gonna be tough.
  9. Rd9108
    Yeah HRRR shows a squall through the center of the county. See what happens. That snow game was fun to watch.
  10. Rd9108
    NAM 3k is showing two solid squall lines on Tuesday so maybe something to watch for.
  11. Rd9108
    Idc if this next wave is south. I'm rooting for this. This is crazy.
  12. Rd9108
    Would appear so atleast our snow pack held strong and another inch on top will be good with the arctic air coming. We will get our bigger storm this year just gotta be patient. The air is too cold right now lol.
  13. Rd9108
    I mean sure if the cold front is slower and the wave is fast and I learn how to speak Mandarin then maybe this could happen. Not expecting much but hoping for atleast 2 or 3 for a nice snow pack. I spend too much time at work looking at this shit. This can't be good for my mental health.
  14. Rd9108
    Ehh looks like we most likely will get a inch maybe two at most. Oh well, just keep padding the stats.
  15. Rd9108
    Let's see what happens with nowcasting. We've seen weird things happen. For example our last big storm where that heavier band set up in northern PA. No models had that at all. Im done looking at models for this one and just gonna enjoy the games at work and hopefully we get some snow tomorrow. Who knows maybe we get some sneaky snow showers as well. Regardless this season actually feels like winter for a change.
  16. Rd9108
    Maybe. Warm air always pushes further north right???
  17. Rd9108
    Fwiw HRRR. Just need to freshen up our snow pack.
  18. Rd9108
    Gfs would work. I'm at work so I'm sure ill be looking at the euro in a bit
  19. Rd9108
    No we will be relying on any showers or weak northern stream disturbances that come through the flow. Still too early to go past the arctic invasion. Usually there's systems that form on fronts.
  20. Rd9108
    Lost our best model RGEM caved. Still looks like maybe we can squeak out 1-3.
  21. Rd9108
    Guidance still is all over the place I wouldn't be surprised if we get an inch or two or three if everything works out. The snowpack is getting decimated right now though.
  22. Rd9108
    NAM no Bueno. Looks like most guidance is correcting east. I'm assuming the rgem will show us just on the fringe of the heaviest band later on. RGEM on the other hand hasn't given up and pretty similar to 18z 4-6 type storm.
  23. Rd9108
    End of range
  24. Rd9108
    It beefed up qpf but it's still east. Long range RAP would be fine
  25. Rd9108
    Well going to take my christmas lights down, but the RGEM held serve for the most part and now the ICON moved west and showed us getting 3 or 4. Very interesting.
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