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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    Gfs not budging. The low was slightly south of 12z before transfer but the area is just flooded with warm air. My guess is the gfs is most likely gonna be right unfortunately. It just seems like in recent years anytime there is any sign of warm air/warm tongue that it's always north of even the models. Any hope is the cold air pushes further south than progged/more confluence. I'm not saying this one is over, it's just that we most likely willnnot win in this scenario unless we see some better trends...
  2. Rd9108
    Lock it in. Would like to see the gfs either stop moving north or tick south or else Bernie Rayno is going to be right about the snow going just to the north of PGH.
  3. Rd9108
    Last post for a bit. How is the gfs so much different compared to the RGEM. Hopefully it's wrong. Like how does the Canadian show this And the gfs has 12+ just a county and a half north.
  4. Rd9108
    NAM is weird but has a mini jack pot for us. Expect the least hope for the best is all I'll say. Would like to see the euro stay consistent and gfs to come south.
  5. Rd9108
    Gfs is like the only model that is north of us for now. NAM is south, rgem is south, ukmet is south and euro is a direct hit.
  6. Rd9108
    Ensembles are better fwiw
  7. Rd9108
    Let's hope this comes back south. This would be painful not gonna lie
  8. Rd9108
    Euro looks really good. Still don't trust any model until 24 hours out atleast especially this setup.
  9. Rd9108
    Here comes the rug pull
  10. Rd9108
    18z gfs has some snow showers atleast. Just gets going a little too late
  11. Rd9108
    That was theb6z and that was for the PD time frame not next Tuesday. Next Tuesday looks like our max would be a moderate event. Just seems like the storm doesn't get really going until it's east of us.
  12. Rd9108
  13. Rd9108
    Still a long long way out
  14. Rd9108
    And this weather in no way is depressing. I'll take this over 40s and rain or 20s and dry.
  15. Rd9108
    Yeah and we are still like 5 days out so a lot can change. I just don't like that there's not a lot that prevents this from cutting.
  16. Rd9108
    Same. Seems like lows always wanna go right through the Burgh and crush NE Ohio.
  17. Rd9108
    Cutting even more this run. This far out there's no point in getting hung up about global runs. Regardless we track.
  18. Rd9108
    And maybe we get lucky. The ensembles atleast show us with some snow which is nice to see for a change.
  19. Rd9108
    Call me a Debby downer but this such a thread the needle event. If a big phase happens there's nothing to keep this going to Youngstown.
  20. Rd9108
    You're fucking soft if you think what I said is attacking somebody.
  21. Rd9108
    Can I join your guys sub forum, ours is way too depressing lol?
  22. Rd9108
    Lol at taking these maps verbatim. These have never verified. Let's get through this shitty period and get a good pattern before we start worrying about long range snow maps.
  23. Rd9108
    If we are done being miserable all ensembles now agree on the pattern changing around Feb 14 fwiw. Still early enough to get excited but the signal is there FOR NOW.
  24. Rd9108
    Ehh winter looks like its in dire straits. Probably gonna see blocking in April. Good thing I'll be out west.
  25. Rd9108
    Seems we are chasing a pattern evolution that just keeps getting pushed back in time. Hate to say it but this winter may end up being a dud.
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