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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    Mix line getting dangerously close but I'll take it.
  2. Rd9108
  3. Rd9108
    SREF
  4. Rd9108
    SREF north
  5. Rd9108
    Can't post the gif of the NBM but the trend is good. Through 3 model suites we have gone from 5 to almost 8 according to it.
  6. Rd9108
    It's the long range RAP. Not very useful at this range. Things have trended better over the past 24 hours. Still time for some poative trends but I think we could at minimum be looking at a high end advisory event. One thing I've noticed is that reports out west say that snow is accumulating heavier and further north than models had it. That could bode well for us down stream.
  7. Rd9108
    Sheesh Pitt is getting some positive trends last minute. 30-50 miles away from a foot verbatim
  8. Rd9108
    We can beat Houston. Idt we could beat Baltimore on the road or chargers at home. Chargers are playing good football right now.
  9. Rd9108
    Snow barely even gets to the MD line on the Herpes
  10. Rd9108
    What has a better chance, this verifying or Tomlin winning a playoff game
  11. Rd9108
    Oh I know you weren't making a forecast based on one model run, I was just making a joke about the long range RAP.
  12. Rd9108
    Browns have a better chance of beating the Ravens
  13. Rd9108
    I bet the midatlantic weenies are freaking out and others telling them it's the NAM and to discount it.
  14. Rd9108
    Last post until later. My head is killing me
  15. Rd9108
  16. Rd9108
    Can we come back to reality for a second. I wonder what the verification scores are on the long range HRRR.
  17. Rd9108
    It's the long range HRRR proceed with extreme caution
  18. Rd9108
    Lmao the mix line is getting close to Pitt. Looks right to me.
  19. Rd9108
    I think he had pittsburgh in like 3 counties away the one time or something. His maps get confusing
  20. Rd9108
    Tbh all the signs were there if it does turn out to be south of you guys. Euro stayed south. NAM the usual amped bias was north and will adjust as it gets closer. The long range HRRR looks good and will also adjust as it gets closer. Euro has been steady for days now so if it's wrong then that's a big model fail on its part.
  21. Rd9108
    I wouldn't give up yet if I was you guys. I'd look at the radar trends and see what happens. The models have been wrong before. We've seen these storm go further north than progged a lot of times.
  22. Rd9108
    If it was a cutter there's zero chance it would trend south.
  23. Rd9108
    Yeah the trends suck. Maybe we get lucky. Keep your expectations low, and hopefully short range models trend better. Nowcasting always has surprises so I wouldn't give up yet but we most likely won't see warning levels.
  24. Rd9108
    Rgem is not on our side. Let's see what happens.
  25. Rd9108
    In the meantime my furnace is about to break. Oh joy. Idk if that's worse than what the NWS has to deal with. I guess that's why we are in the range of 2-7.
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