NAM keeps us close to stay invested but still south. The vort needs to be stronger to fight the confluence. Right now once the vort gets to PA it gets shredded. Apparently the vort will be sampled this evening/tonight officially.
Lmao of course the euro goes south. Can't make it up. It's been very steady on being further south. Oh well still time and we still have snow tomorrow.
Cmc isn't as amped. I kind of like where we sit. Not necessarily for the bullseye but for atleast a warning event. Something we haven't had in awhile. Time for bed. Won't be up for the euro unless we get a call in the middle of the night.
Just saw that. Funny how we go from worrying about suppression to too warm. I figured this would come back north so not surprised. It's only one run and few days away.
Agreed it's a fine line. The closer the heaviest precip the closer the mix line. Just seems like with this being so southern jet stream dominated that WAA may be under modeled, and the storm winds up slightly north of the models.
First winter weather advisory of the year! Maybe we can get a warning on Monday. Latest euro looks pretty solid with room to improve if the precip busts low or the max is further north than modeled.