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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    Tbh all the signs were there if it does turn out to be south of you guys. Euro stayed south. NAM the usual amped bias was north and will adjust as it gets closer. The long range HRRR looks good and will also adjust as it gets closer. Euro has been steady for days now so if it's wrong then that's a big model fail on its part.
  2. Rd9108
    I wouldn't give up yet if I was you guys. I'd look at the radar trends and see what happens. The models have been wrong before. We've seen these storm go further north than progged a lot of times.
  3. Rd9108
    If it was a cutter there's zero chance it would trend south.
  4. Rd9108
    Yeah the trends suck. Maybe we get lucky. Keep your expectations low, and hopefully short range models trend better. Nowcasting always has surprises so I wouldn't give up yet but we most likely won't see warning levels.
  5. Rd9108
    Rgem is not on our side. Let's see what happens.
  6. Rd9108
    In the meantime my furnace is about to break. Oh joy. Idk if that's worse than what the NWS has to deal with. I guess that's why we are in the range of 2-7.
  7. Rd9108
    Looks good enough for our biggest storm in awhile but still need to see other guidance
  8. Rd9108
    Gfs not good. Maybe the euro will help us
  9. Rd9108
    3k would make us happy. It's out of range but so far as lot of the guidance looks better. Time for the rug pull.
  10. Rd9108
    3k looks even better i think
  11. Rd9108
    Appears the lake connection is disorganized and most of the heavier bands will remain north of the city. Still a great winter day regardless.
  12. Rd9108
    Rgem is north. Icon south. Rgem and 3k NAM look good. Would really like for the Euro to get on board and for the gfs to hold steady/improve.
  13. Rd9108
    It didn't go south that's all that matters. See if the gfs improves/holds steady.
  14. Rd9108
    Yep close enough that nowcasting could be different. Hopefully we get more than our biggest last year at 3ish.
  15. Rd9108
    Close enough to keep an eye on. Not expecting a huge changem
  16. Rd9108
    Canadian is around 5. I'll be back later for the Euro to jackpot Richmond.
  17. Rd9108
    Gfs looks good. Need the euro to come north now
  18. Rd9108
    NAM keeps us close to stay invested but still south. The vort needs to be stronger to fight the confluence. Right now once the vort gets to PA it gets shredded. Apparently the vort will be sampled this evening/tonight officially.
  19. Rd9108
    Just being overdramatic tbh. We've seen enough wild swings with less than 48 to go before.
  20. Rd9108
    Yikes euro is barely an inch and it's drier. This one might be over. Only the NAM gives us the goods. Those damn midatlantic weenies win again!
  21. Rd9108
    Lmao of course the euro goes south. Can't make it up. It's been very steady on being further south. Oh well still time and we still have snow tomorrow.
  22. Rd9108
    Cmc gives my area a foot as well. Let's just shake on it now and everybody is happy.
  23. Rd9108
    Cmc isn't as amped. I kind of like where we sit. Not necessarily for the bullseye but for atleast a warning event. Something we haven't had in awhile. Time for bed. Won't be up for the euro unless we get a call in the middle of the night.
  24. Rd9108
    Lmao the gfs sends the mix line right into the area. Let's see what the euro does.
  25. Rd9108
    The fact that I'll be at work Monday makes me believe it will overperform and I'll be dealing with accidents and shoveling out hydrants all day.
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