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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    I peaked in there and I don't see a lot of busts really. Most are on pace for the low end of the forecast atleast.
  2. Rd9108
    Look at that banding north of AGH county. No model had that. Unfortunately we will not bust high but snow is snow.
  3. Rd9108
    I'm trolling btw I will say the radar doesn't look too impressive but we shall see.
  4. Rd9108
    Lmao Pittsburgh Public Schools closed down school for an inch of snow.
  5. Rd9108
    Haven't looked in a few hours. Not looking impressive?
  6. Rd9108
    4 or 5 would be fine with me. Just enough to cause a nuisance but not enough to shut down the city. Ill be curious to see what it's like when I wake up at 530.
  7. Rd9108
    That dry air means business. Hopefully confluence is less than modeled and we get some surprise. Looking to end of week looks like any storm will most likely be east of us. Pattern looks cold though so the snow will stay.
  8. Rd9108
    Nowcasting time. Hope for the best. Short range models have been pretty meh. Atleast it will stick around.
  9. Rd9108
    Important thing is to look out west. So far all models have underdone the extent of the northern precip. Now that doesn't mean I'm expecting we see 10, but 6 isn't out of the question.
  10. Rd9108
    Last post before I head out. From the same met. The kinds of busts that often happen are when more mesoscale features make or break a forecast. A lot seems to hinge on the WV low pressure that develops from mountain-related effects.Globals, including even the new UKMET, are giving a nod to the HRRR with this possibility this afternoon. Big shift upward with snowfall totals compared to last evening's run.
  11. Rd9108
    That does seem to be the case. We need the primary to hang on longer and stay stronger if we want the HRRR to play out. Seems like some of the models are under doing the northern precip shield. Not expecting a complete bust, but we've seen weird thing with storms that cause some huge busts.
  12. Rd9108
    FYI reports out west are showing that precip is falling in places that NAM said there will be zero precip.
  13. Rd9108
    He says Mping confirms this is reaching the ground.
  14. Rd9108
    So if we look out west precip is stronger and falling further north and even earlier than models like the 3k had it. Obviously every little detail matters but maybe a sign of trends out our way. Took this from another forum from a local met.
  15. Rd9108
    Yep just adding to the snow pack. Never believed the northern models since the Euro has stayed consistently south of the area with the snow band. Hopefully this overperforms.
  16. Rd9108
    Latest HRRR
  17. Rd9108
  18. Rd9108
    Nothing we can do but track and keep our expectations low.
  19. Rd9108
    It will look something like this
  20. Rd9108
    I'm hoping the confluence is overdone. That precip shield gets destroyed on the northern side.
  21. Rd9108
    Yeah its not that the storm is south. The confluence just looks like it kills the precip shield. WAA always wins right..?
  22. Rd9108
    NAM looks like poo
  23. Rd9108
    The difference between 3 and 14 for my area is ridiculous. Pittsburgh would shut down for the day.
  24. Rd9108
  25. Rd9108
    Gotta smell the sleet they say.
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