Rd9108

Idc if this next wave is south. I'm rooting for this. This is crazy.

Would appear so atleast our snow pack held strong and another inch on top will be good with the arctic air coming. We will get our bigger storm this year just gotta be patient. The air is too cold right now lol.

I mean sure if the cold front is slower and the wave is fast and I learn how to speak Mandarin then maybe this could happen. Not expecting much but hoping for atleast 2 or 3 for a nice snow pack. I spend too much time at work looking at this shit. This can't be good for my mental health.

Ehh looks like we most likely will get a inch maybe two at most. Oh well, just keep padding the stats.

Let's see what happens with nowcasting. We've seen weird things happen. For example our last big storm where that heavier band set up in northern PA. No models had that at all. Im done looking at models for this one and just gonna enjoy the games at work and hopefully we get some snow tomorrow. Who knows maybe we get some sneaky snow showers as well. Regardless this season actually feels like winter for a change.

Maybe. Warm air always pushes further north right???

Fwiw HRRR. Just need to freshen up our snow pack.

Gfs would work. I'm at work so I'm sure ill be looking at the euro in a bit

No we will be relying on any showers or weak northern stream disturbances that come through the flow. Still too early to go past the arctic invasion. Usually there's systems that form on fronts.

Lost our best model RGEM caved. Still looks like maybe we can squeak out 1-3.

Guidance still is all over the place I wouldn't be surprised if we get an inch or two or three if everything works out. The snowpack is getting decimated right now though.

NAM no Bueno. Looks like most guidance is correcting east. I'm assuming the rgem will show us just on the fringe of the heaviest band later on. RGEM on the other hand hasn't given up and pretty similar to 18z 4-6 type storm.

End of range

It beefed up qpf but it's still east. Long range RAP would be fine

Well going to take my christmas lights down, but the RGEM held serve for the most part and now the ICON moved west and showed us getting 3 or 4. Very interesting.

We've just been hurt before lol. Just being pessimistic/realistic. Although I just looked at the NAM and it does look like it came west and it looks like it should atleast give us a light event. Hopefully the RGEM holds serve next. I want to see us make a run at a temp lower than -10.

Different storm same story. HRRR and RGEM amped compared to rest of guidance. I'm expecting by 12z tomorrow it will start trending south. Time will tell.

Add Euro to the guidance that is saying that the Canadian is way out of its mind. My guess we see it start slowly trending back east either at 18z or 0z. With that being said idt our snowpack survives the warm up.

The HRRR and RAP are on our side as well. I'm not expecting the Canadian but it hasn't budged in days. With that being said I think we'd be happy with 1-2 before the cold.

Still not posting the RGEM even though it's an absolute mauling. It's getting closer to in range but it's just so different than most other guidance.

3k is better for you guys

Yeah maybe we eek out 1-3. Very possible. If you are looking at anything more then most likely we will be disappointed. The only modeling we have on our side is the RGEM, and the long range HRRR and RAP. I guess we shall see. I still think just west of 95 will be the jackpot area.

Very impressive temps back before 1990 wow.

°F Date Min °C 5 February 04, 2023 + -1 -6 January 27, 2022 -2 2 February 21, 2021 -1 8 February 15, 2020 -1 -5 January 31, 2019 + -2 -6 January 07, 2018 -2 0 December 31, 2017 -1 -2 February 14, 2016 -1 -10 February 20, 2015 -2 -9 January 07, 2014 -2 4 January 23, 2013 -1 3 January 20, 2012 -1 -1 January 22, 2011 -1 -1 February 07, 2010 -1 -10 January 17, 2009 -23 2 December 22, 2008 -17 -5 February 06, 2007 -21 3 February 19, 2006 -16 -1 January 24, 2005 -18 -1 February 01, 2004 + -18 -4 January 27, 2003 -20 7 December 04, 2002 -14 7 January 26, 2001 -14 1 December 26, 2000 + -17 -1 January 05, 1999 -18 6 January 01, 1998 -14 -1 January 19, 1997 + -18 -6 February 04, 1996 -21 -4 February 12, 1995 -20 -22 January 19, 1994 -30 -1 February 25, 1993 + -18 -1 January 19, 1992 -18 4 January 22, 1991 -16 0 February 26, 1990 -18

94 -22 all time low.