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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    NAM is actually south 3k nice hit.
  2. Rd9108
    It's the euro ensemble at short range but it's definitely south of op and other guidance
  3. Rd9108
    Could be for sure. The models are still all over the place. I'm glad we have some of the mesos. Hopefully the next HRRR run shows a big hit again
  4. Rd9108
    UK continues to be south of other guidance
  5. Rd9108
    GEFS has gone south fwiw. We are within 36 hours now so the ensembles aren't as good but it's atleast a sign that maybe this is ticking south. Hopefully the euro shows the same.
  6. Rd9108
    It's slightly better. Every little tick helps with this and nowcasting may have some surprises good or bad.
  7. Rd9108
    Hug the snowiest model and you can never go wrong.... Icon is south of it's previous runs. Let's just shoot for a period of heavy snow and I'll be happy.
  8. Rd9108
    3k is a lot warmer though. I guess it may actually come down to nowcasting.
  9. Rd9108
    Infact the NAM has us at 8 inches now on the kuchera.
  10. Rd9108
    I seen that maybe we get a nice little correction back south. I'd love for the gfs and rgem to shift south. Still tracking atleast.
  11. Rd9108
    I mean doesn't help when Tim who is from my area comes in your forum and stirs the pot....
  12. Rd9108
    Come on you know in your heart that the NW ALWAYS wins.
  13. Rd9108
    Gfs has gone even further north and starts to creep that mix line into Northern PA.
  14. Rd9108
    Tbh I want to see some semblance of south shift between now and 12z tomorrow or else your fear may come true.
  15. Rd9108
    I'm gonna laugh if the gfs decides to come back south.
  16. Rd9108
    Nope because we know that pesky warm air always comes further north. Idt we ever get the opposite
  17. Rd9108
    Big game hunting at this point. Give me a 12+ storm and I won't even remember how bad this winter has been.
  18. Rd9108
    You guys might as well close this thread because at this rate it's gonna be rain all the way up to Cleveland.
  19. Rd9108
    With that being said the SREFs are also going North. If the NAM goes north than you can basically put a knife in this one. Unless models are underestimating the cold air push.
  20. Rd9108
    18z euro north again fwiw. Need to see some type of bleeding to the north stopped tonight or tomorrow or else this thing is going to Youngstown/Cleveland. NAM is next up.
  21. Rd9108
    Atleast it's over now and not 24 hours out. Like I said too I have a feeling this forces the rain/snow line even further north than the gfs is modeled. Gotta see some changes at 0z tonight if there's any hope.
  22. Rd9108
    I hate to be that guy and I'm not trying to troll but it seems like in recent storms the warm air always pushes further north than the models project. I hope I'm wrong.
  23. Rd9108
    Gfs not budging. The low was slightly south of 12z before transfer but the area is just flooded with warm air. My guess is the gfs is most likely gonna be right unfortunately. It just seems like in recent years anytime there is any sign of warm air/warm tongue that it's always north of even the models. Any hope is the cold air pushes further south than progged/more confluence. I'm not saying this one is over, it's just that we most likely willnnot win in this scenario unless we see some better trends...
  24. Rd9108
    Lock it in. Would like to see the gfs either stop moving north or tick south or else Bernie Rayno is going to be right about the snow going just to the north of PGH.
  25. Rd9108
    Last post for a bit. How is the gfs so much different compared to the RGEM. Hopefully it's wrong. Like how does the Canadian show this And the gfs has 12+ just a county and a half north.
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