Rd9108

12k NAMd us hard 3k as well

Positive energy I'm bringing here. Icon fwiw If the GFS hops on board then I'll get atleast somewhat intrigued and hopeful. As of now this storm has been fascinating to track.

I always like when this gets in range. It's not the dark dark blues but still looks good. Fwiw https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

Yikes

It's a big jump between 18z and 0z. Now don't get me wrong I don't see this getting too much better but we still have time for some trends. We track

NAM is better for us plain and simple. Last minute trend for atleast something measurable perhaps?

Everything is trending worse except the RGEM. So I doubt we see anything more than an inch or two at the absolute most. This honest looks like crap now. The Northeast are relying on the deform band now to set up and deliver the goods.

RGEM is not giving up even if its wrong.

Yeah figured it would. Cmc is too amped. Atleast mid month looks promising.

I find it funny that they hyped this storm up so much around here that i have people asking me about the "big snownstorm" this weekend. If you really look at the models this was advertised as a big snow storm for 36 hr maybe 48, and this was basically still 5 or 6 days put. Thats forever I'm model land. Atleast this was a quick rug pull and not a slap in the face. The 18z runs on Jan 2 was the first signs of this being dramatically different evolution than what is unfolding now. Maybe sampling?

Yeah we are missing a quick hitting 6-8 inch storm at the absolute most and it's all gonna be gone in a day or two. Definitely doesn't hurt as much as say like 2016. You start to care less about snow after you almost total your car in the ice/snow. Not to mention having to deal with it on my job. I still enjoy the heavy snowfall and tracking the threats but it doesn't hurt as much now. We are just in a bad stretch, it will change I'm sure you could go through our history and see other examples of bad stretches. I always said I'd take no snow all year to cash out on the big one.

We might have gotten more snow last night then the storm this weekend. Rgem looks the best, NAM isn't bad but I doubt we see anything more than an inch or two at most.

Not over yet and now there is a great lakes low that is appearing screwing everything up. Idt this done trending quite yet.

Since we are out of this one I'm more curious about how this evolving but is it not concerning that the usual overdone model is showing such little precip?

Euro continues to be the most amped model fwiw. I guess we shall see what 0z does. Also KPitt you realize I'm fucking around right.

So I've bitched one time and yet you troll and complain constantly. I honestly don't care if we get any snow at this point. I'll take a winter like last year. It was awesome golfing in January and Febuary. Global Warming ftw!!! I'm gonna continue to spray my spray paint and drive my big diesel truck. In fact how can I speed the process up?!?

I hope we get snow flurries and then heavy rain. I'm sick of you guys crying.

Honestly with no primary and this thing not really closing off I don't see anybody getting more than 8 or 9 from this.

Euro a little better than 0z. Storm is slightly north and more amped. I'm joy back in yet but still time for some decent trends. Of course us getting 6+ are dead but maybe we squeak out 4-5.

Gfs looks like poopy while the CMC looks good. Euro next. Those 6+ totals are probably off the table but maybe we can get a 2-4 hit. Which is basically a good clipper.

Maybe you should step away from model runs for a week for your mental health. We all want snow as much as the next person but you are becoming extremely negative over this. Fwiw 12z RGEM looks decent for a small event.

Thanks for your expert analysis. Unfortunately our wait for a decent snowfall continues.

I lied looks like poop. Maybe it busts in a good way.

NAM amped more than 6z so far let's see if it affects the outcome downstream.

Tbh GFS looks pretty good in the long range. I know it stings but it looks like we will have some more chances down the road IF this doesn't deliver nothing more than 1-2 inches.