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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. If you like tomorrow’s weather, you are in luck as it’s a carbon copy for New Years
  2. looks pretty standard low top line of convection, very typical in this new regime
  3. That’s mostly pd #2 and the gaps were filled in with this past storm
  4. Not great post by upton, my parents in Howard beach on the water got more snow than me 30 miles due north in white plains. They just picked a bad measurement
  5. this was by far the best model run for this storm, 78 hrs out.
  6. 32 inches in queensbury ny, forecast was for 5 inches.
  7. none of those are even close to the 40 inches NWS BGM has received, even using Kucera.
  8. NWS had ablany around a foot in the forecast, some areas NW of albany ending up with 30 inches. Only the UKMET showed this
  9. 6 inches White Plains, NWS forecast of 15 inches. One of the bigger busts and I avoided the dry slot, we either had sleet or nothing.
  10. big step toward the GFS on the Euro, finally. Euro NW bias is so bad in the day 3-5 range
  11. The Euro was the furthest NW for tomorrow’s system at this systems lead time....
  12. At this time lead, the UKMET agreed with Euro also, GFS and GGEM never bit. Not even once
  13. They look like the opposite of what the Euro showed at a similar time frame for the last storm. As we know the Euro was terrible with its server over amped and NW bias. There are many reasons why the GFS makes sense, collapsing PNA, possibility of a weaker S/W, stronger confluence etc... after last weeks Euro debacle, I would be adjusting its output by 100 miles south east...
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