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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. It’s not bad luck, there is a reason the NAO breaks down when the RNA moves out of the gutter
  2. Could but probably not, especially if the PV heads toward Europe. We would still be flooded with PAC air
  3. Historic torch looking likely Jan 5 to 15, even warmer than what we had most of December as we loose the blocking and RNA rages
  4. It’s a few radiational cooling nights, not representative
  5. Don’t see any threat on any of these, maybe some light rain or drizzle
  6. Can’t imagine many being thrilled with 4.4 inches of snow for all of January
  7. https://nypost.com/2021/10/20/nyc-to-be-affected-by-la-higher-snowfall-than-expected-in-november/
  8. You said this week upcoming looked great last week, instead this week is near 50 everyday with intermittent rain. The models past a few days, even ensembles are no better than a coin flip
  9. More rain on Wednesday, Xmas week falling apart for the mountains
  10. Freezing rain to rain tomorrow will be brutal, strongest storm in a week and it’s liquid
  11. Bingo, honestly next few weeks look worse than what we had last week (snow for central and northern New England). I see warmth and weak rain systems next two to three weeks. Awful stretch in the heart of winter
  12. Correct, very stable pattern with the cold water south of Alaska and the Nina forcing causing the MJO to stall and loop. However the NAO is not stable, I see nothing promising for next few weeks
  13. Likely the SE ridge links up with the blocking given massive RNA that is only trending stronger. That would be a blowtorch pattern
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