qg_omega
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Everything posted by qg_omega
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Always take the cold, always
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The EPS has been atrocious, especially on the PAC forecast
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In this pattern with short wave lengths and lots of blocking, I would suspect correlation coefficients near 0.2 or worse in 10 to 15 day ensemble range. Would easily bet on an opposite look of that today
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Can’t imagine anyone doing good in the next three weeks, the pattern screams rain to Maine. There is no cold air under the block and the PV is gone. One of the worst patterns we have seen in December in many many years. Hard to get 5 straight rain events in NNE in December but that’s on deck
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10 to 15 day ensembles have no skill, the 10 to 15 day ensemble mean looked good two weeks ago as does today’s….as I said many times statistically it is worse than a coin flip
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Yes north of Montreal, rain’s to the greens
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No chances in the next three weeks
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EPS is consistent in showing a massive linked ridge from the gulf coast into Greenland
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Lots of people pointed out the issues weeks ago
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Massive block means little when it links up with the SE ridge and strong negative PNA. It’s very possible we link up the ridges and can go very above normal for the second half of December
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I said this two weeks ago
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Looks above normal again for the month
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Power out in armonk with trees down
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Carbon copy fella
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That has as much chance as verifying statistically as a coin flip at that range. In fact odds are likely less than a coin flip
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Rainers to Quebec for the next three weeks with above normal temps is the reality
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Lots of ppl just are seeing red in Greenland and expecting a good pattern. Not going to happen, SE ridge will join up with the blocking and dump the PV into the west
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Awful
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324 OP is nonsense
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Looks good for the west
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Need to close the shades for the next 3 weeks
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Cold will dump into the west, look for the SE ridge to link up with the higher heights over Greenland
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close the shades for the next month, it was over after DT went all in
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Blocking will always verify less, negative PNA is real and so is the SE ridge. Pattern looks warm for the foreseeable future
