qg_omega
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Everything posted by qg_omega
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Winter storm for the 25th of February is imminent.
qg_omega replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Today was very cold skiing this morning -
Tuesday/Wednesday pretty rare to see rains to Montreal, especially with the previous storm being similar in February.
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Adks
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Given I ski almost every weekend, one of those
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Last thing I want is this pattern going into Presidents’ Day week but It is what it is
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Will be zero by Presidents’ Day
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Winter is over bud
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Post pics of the damage, non event for the majority of posters here so far
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Unlikely given the radar, maybe .2 to .3 left of QPF plus the ground is wet and warm. Need temps into the mid 20s for any real impact
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GFS had HPN at 25 at 7am a few runs back, it was awful
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GFS only off by 20 degrees
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Yes but other models are even warmer, it’s likely best to just toss the GFS
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12z GFS is 27 degrees at 12z Friday. KNYC and KHPN are same temperature. The city is more than the manhattan and im talking about the general area. Euro is 33 at both stations, same time. GFS is a big ice storm for a lot of the area, Euro is a whole lot of nothing. Going to be very little accretion of ice at 32, 31, or 30. Really need temps in 20s for this to become a bigger deal.
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Yes, that’s the difference between a nuance event and an ice storm
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No it doesn’t
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Models are extremely on top of each other, there is like no uncertainty. Literally every model has 6 to 8 for NYC.
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I think that’s the high bar, decent chance of not a flake and tons of Virga for NYC. Going to have super dry air funneling right down the Hudson Valley. Remember the last storm the Euro had a few inches where only a few flakes actually happened. Never bet against the GFS when its so locked in as it has been for days. Just remarkable consistency.
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Euro is just so bad now with east coast storms, really unusable
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It’s literally been the most consistent model by far and it’s not even close. All the others moving 100s of miles every 6 hrs.
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GFS has been locked in for days, bet against it at your own risk
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Amazing how consistent GFS has been, it’s just laying waste to the Euro storm after storm. Everyone knows the risk is a whiff here (besides Pope who argues this cuts to Buffalo)
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What?
