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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. It really isn’t, it’s either the PV goes into BC or it’s ejected. Pattern supports the PV into BC. Check my posts from over a month ago on this very idea.
  2. its just a repeat of the cold dump into the west, thats not moving east in time. Montana is on track for a record cold DJF
  3. its still a cutter pattern on the EPS
  4. It’s not like some here haven’t warned about this pattern since November with the block pushing the PV to western Canada
  5. No reason to discount the persistent trough in the west. Those 10 day plus ensemble maps are useless and not a reason.
  6. The retrograding 50/50 controls next weeks threat
  7. Many places had that a few weeks ago
  8. Yup 26 inches of snow with 60 mph winds, awful
  9. 12z EPS for Dec08 and Dec12: Blocking in Greenland is not wildly off, however the PNA domain was very wrong which changes everything. Instead of having a PV under the block, it is now over Western Canada and the SE ridge is able to link up to the blocking. This is exactly what I was concerned about on November 27th: SSTs support the -PNA regime and I have no faith in any ensemble trying to break down the -PNA.
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