I do not like warm weather at all, I’m the biggest snow guy going. You have no idea of my background. I have a minor in atmospheric science and it was my major for two years. I’ve been doing this for 20 years plus, we are not the same
kinda odd its not a concern of yours given the depth of the WC trough, SE ridge has been under modeled in the extended all winter. I would say the main concern is any blocking that does develop actually moves too far south like we saw in Jan and links up with the SE ridge for a mega ridge. Having the MJO try and fail repeatedly in phase 8 just reinforces this idea.