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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. Increasing signs of a torch Xmas to New Years
  2. https://x.com/snewxcenter/status/1733487683895226478?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
  3. Winds look only for SNE, NAM is tame until it gets to the forks to SNE, whole system has shifted, slightly better chance of a flip to snow but will see
  4. Golden age of Accu pro and the JB videos, his and the count pointer count show
  5. So easy to torch these days vs going below normal, sad times
  6. No signs of any pattern change as we head into Jan
  7. What a terrible pattern for the rest of the month
  8. Huge change and kudos to you for understanding the impact of the very warm waters in 4 5 6 slowing down the convection
  9. 40s are normal and cold for NYC in December, multiple 50s to 60s have become the new normal and we likely see that this weekend and very likely additional days this month
  10. Agreed, but cold and stormy hype pays the bills https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1730904418617352518?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
  11. Winter severe season looks to get going this weekend
  12. MJO spending sufficient time outside of the warm phases, not seeing any evidence of that yet. Cold moving to our side of the globe (currently opposite) and an improved PAC. Basically the opposite of what we will have for December
  13. You scored on the early season “cold” pattern, unfortunately that looks to change now for the next 4 to 6 weeks
  14. Mid month torch, can call these years out at this point
  15. Spot on, incredible analysis as usual from you
  16. Yup most expected this December to be awful, most
  17. I read what you said wrong, this shows even an AO under 1 now just gets us back to what we had without it
  18. Unfortunately, this is not correct
  19. Decent looking as expected, above normal. Only question is +4 vs +8
  20. with the block we are +2 to +4, without it we would be +6 to +8
  21. Cold air will be in the other side of the pole all month, we are blocking PAC air, go warm
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