Blizzard of 93

This is for Saturday: Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 420 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025 PAZ049>053-057>059-142130- /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0016.250215T1700Z-250216T0600Z/ Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Dauphin-Schuylkill- Lebanon- Including the cities of Bloomsburg, Shamokin, Harrisburg, Hershey, Lebanon, Danville, Pottsville, Sunbury, Berwick, Lewisburg, and Selinsgrove 420 AM EST Fri Feb 14 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 1 and 3 inches and ice accumulations between a glaze and one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From noon Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

Great trends at 0z indeed! Euro was a major storm for the LSV & it wouldn’t take much to get even higher amounts into southern PA. Here’s a look at the 0z Euro

We just checked in to our center city Philly hotel for the Eagles parade! I can’t wait for tomorrow! Bucket list item!

GFS is a whiff southeast this run.

Wait… WB should have showed more snow than depicted…lol?

I’ll take my 2 & like it.

18z GFS for Saturday front end

12z EPS is an impressive signal for 1 week out. Here are the member low tracks & 48 hour snow mean to capture timing differences. Some really low pressures with some of those individual member lows.

12z EPS is an impressive signal for 1 week out. Here are the member low tracks & 48 hour snow mean to capture timing differences. Some really low pressures with some of those individual member lows.

It would be cold with good ratios.

Here is the 12z Euro just for next Thursday… While we obviously want & have the chance for something much more out of this, if we end up with a widespread 4 to 5 inch all snow event, it wouldn’t be the worst outcome.

I think too amped is more of a concern than southern slider with next week’s chance.

I’m just looking for a general agreement of the storm later today or tomorrow. Then fine tune the track within the last 5 days to determine precip issues & jackpot areas.

0z Canadian would be acceptable, but the upside potential of the Euro would be spectacular.

@mitchnick how is the AI looking?

Thanks, I forgot to look at the Canadian.

The GFS yesterday morning looked like this overnight Euro run. Hopefully today we start to get some general agreement.

No, the no response post was in reference to not having this thread “ruined” by someone.

What a classic track for next week’s chance on the Euro. Long way to go, but good to see the Euro get on board overnight.

6z GFS for Next Thursday slides the low to the southeast this run, just giving us light snow.

The 6z GFS has solid Advisory level snow for most of CTP on Saturday.

Wow, what a run….so much potential. 0Z EURO.

0z GFS is on board for Saturday am front end snow

The 0z NAM is on board for 2 to 3 inches for most of CTP Saturday am before changing to a mix.

Hey @AllWeather & @MAG5035 What are your thoughts on next week’s potential?