6z GEFS individual ensemble members for early next week say that there is more of a risk of a whiff with not much of a storm instead of a miss to the north.
Plenty of good snow hits for CTP on the individual members as well.
0z Euro has continued its march to the south & now looks similar to the GFS.
Convergence is underway & it puts most of CTP in a good spot.
Here is the 0z Euro.
The 0z Canadian tonight also continues to adjust south.
Check out the difference between 0z tonight & 0z last night.
Top-0z last night with a low near Erie
Bottom-0z tonight with a low in NC
Yes indeed!
The Initial low dies in southern WV & then secondaries off of the DelMarVa while rapidly strengthening into the 980s. Then it exits northeast.
Hopefully 0z tonight or 12z tomorrow brings some convergence between the models.
It was good to see the Euro & EPS step towards the GFS today.
I think a compromise will still work well for most of us in here.
Checking in over lunch & good to see the Euro make a large shift south from 0z to 12z.
The “blue” made about a 75 mile shift south this run.
0z top
12z bottom
The 6z GEFS through day 16 continues the juicing up. The 6 inch line gets to northern Dauphin county & the 2 inch line gets way down to northern North Carolina.
Quite the signal…