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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. I’d rather have it showing the chance of a whiff instead of congrats Binghamton & Worcester like many models showed a day or 2 ago.
  2. 6z GEFS individual ensemble members for early next week say that there is more of a risk of a whiff with not much of a storm instead of a miss to the north. Plenty of good snow hits for CTP on the individual members as well.
  3. 6z GEFS moved moved with its snow line. It actually keeps DC in the game this run. It puts the LSV in the sweet spot this run. 6z top 0z bottom
  4. Convergence continues with the 6z GFS moving the snow line a bit north, but this still works well for most of CTP.
  5. 0z Euro has continued its march to the south & now looks similar to the GFS. Convergence is underway & it puts most of CTP in a good spot. Here is the 0z Euro.
  6. If anyone wants a late night treat, the rest of the 0z GFS brings a few more snow events throughout the run. The total snow map is a thing of beauty.
  7. Good, I want the lows to Erie or Cleveland eliminated. Give me a track under us or one that has a low dying off in WV before a jump towards the coast.
  8. 0z GEFS has the mean low position a little south east of 18z.
  9. The 0z Canadian tonight also continues to adjust south. Check out the difference between 0z tonight & 0z last night. Top-0z last night with a low near Erie Bottom-0z tonight with a low in NC
  10. Yes indeed! The Initial low dies in southern WV & then secondaries off of the DelMarVa while rapidly strengthening into the 980s. Then it exits northeast.
  11. 18z EPS slight shift south over 12z. 18z EPS also upped snow amounts for the LSV this run. 12z top 18z bottom
  12. I can’t wait for his snow map for us on Monday…
  13. This 18z GEFS now looks similar to the 12z EPS for most of CTP. Here is EPS at 12z to compare.
  14. 18z GEFS ticked north from its 12z run, but is still good for all of CTP.
  15. Hopefully 0z tonight or 12z tomorrow brings some convergence between the models. It was good to see the Euro & EPS step towards the GFS today. I think a compromise will still work well for most of us in here.
  16. I think all of us would sign now for this 18z GFS run.
  17. Nice shift south on the 12z EPS as well. 12z top 6z bottom
  18. Canadian also made quite the shift south as well. 0z was near Erie & 12z is in the DelMarVa at the same time stamp. 0z top 12z bottom
  19. Checking in over lunch & good to see the Euro make a large shift south from 0z to 12z. The “blue” made about a 75 mile shift south this run. 0z top 12z bottom
  20. The 6z GEFS through day 16 continues the juicing up. The 6 inch line gets to northern Dauphin county & the 2 inch line gets way down to northern North Carolina. Quite the signal…
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