Blizzard of 93

3k NAM improved again for Harrisburg which gets 6 on the Kuchera map this run.

Impressive NAM run. Rates would be insane if this verifies.

NAMing underway!

Hopefully the NAM brings the goods again soon.

Lol, Just wait until his fever dream precip start time map.

March south continues on the EPS. MDT increased to 5.7thus run, up from 4.1 last run.

Look at this 6 hr precip panel on the 18z EPS. These rates would get it done. Very strong individual members in a great position.

The Euro just had its best run since early yesterday for the LSV. It joined that south bound train!

Good to see the HRDPS catching on to the south bound train… Still a little snow to go when the run ends for eastern areas.

I think 2016 was also a massive cutoff. MDT had 30, but near Williamsport was close to a shut out if I remember correctly.

Snow on snow, bring it please!

Yes, very nice improvement for the southern tier.

Selinsgrove PA went from 0 at 6z to 10 inches at 18z …

Yes, but Significant shift south from 6z to 18z Icon. 6z top 18z bottom

CTP freshened up the Watch & bumped amounts up again. I liked that they mentioned the 2 to 4 hour heavy snow potential Tuesday am.

Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 249 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024 PAZ025>028-034-056-057-059-121000- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.A.0003.240213T0400Z-240213T1800Z/ Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon- Including the cities of Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, and Lebanon 249 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of south-central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From Monday evening through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will develop Monday evening and turn to snow overnight into early Tuesday morning. Snow will continue through the early afternoon hours. A two-to-four hour period of heavy snow is possible around daybreak Tuesday when snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour could occur.

3k NAM best run yet, but not nearly as generous as the 12k. I wouldn’t complain about the 5 it shows around Harrisburg.

Lol, I’d be happy with half of this!

Serious & thoroughly satisfying NAMing!

These are the 12z ensemble snow maps for day 5 through 15. These do NOT include the current early week storm. This is a great general signal for active pattern with chances in this day 5 through 15 period.

Beautiful!

Exactly, I feel we will be busy in here through mid March.

The 12z EPS joined the other 12z ensembles & also has higher snow amounts for the LSV with now getting the 4 inch line to Harrisburg. This is is best EPS run since early yesterday.

The Euro looks close to me to having a bit more snow in the LSV with the 540 line crashing with heavier precip still overhead & the low position offshore as of 12z Tuesday. The short range higher res models should help to resolve this area closer to storm time.

12z Euro slight improvement for the LSV over its last couple of runs, but still has less than latest GFS & Canadian in the LSV. The rest of CTP further north & west of Harrisburg still do well this run.