Blizzard of 93
-
Posts
11,744 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
-
My bad, was posting from the road…. Here is the 21z run through Tuesday evening
-
FWIW, the SREF is on board
-
lol, the restaurant in Lancaster. I’m getting 3 plates of food!
-
Lol, I did kind of angle it that way…. We are on the way to Shady Maple to celebrate the kids good report cards.
-
58 on the car thermometer (Mrs. Blizz is driving) as we drive by the Manheim exit on 283.
-
Here is CTP’s latest “Event Total Snow” map which even has Advisory amounts for the southern tier & Warning amounts further north.
-
CTP is so confident that they issued Watches for most of their region north of the southern tier counties.
-
It’s not over for most of us in here. Again, we all don’t live on the MD line…
-
Yes, it shows how the LSV can win. Initial low transfers when it hits central WV & then secondaries off of the DelMarVa & then deepens northeast.
-
Wow, I was not expecting this at this range….especially with the model variance at 12z
-
12z EPS for early week trended north this run after a few good runs in a row. Still lots of workable low tracks on the ensemble members. It still has Advisory level snow for the LSV this run.
-
Here are the 12z GFS, Canadian & NAM as of 12z Tuesday at the same time stamp. The location & strength of that coastal low will determine southern PA’s fate. Still lots of variance with 3 days to go.
-
Small differences the the LSV couldn’t afford this run took away much of our snow. The initial low almost gets to the PA border this run & then the coastal hugs the coast near Atlantic City, NJ this run instead off developing off of OCMD last run.
-
It’s not over yet just because of 1 Euro Op run…. If this look holds until 12z Monday, then it’s over.
-
Unfortunately no, WB just has very limited Ukie maps-no snow maps. I rely on others for the Ukie.
-
12z GEFS gets Warning snow to most of CTP including 7 to Harrisburg this run.
-
Canadian also has PD weekend coastal storm chance just further south & weaker at this range.
-
Op run snow alert on the GFS for the PD weekend & just beyond. Lots of tracking in our future…
-
Agreed, we need something more like the GFS to bring the rates once we flip to have the chance of accumulation.
-
Exactly…Warning snow from Harrisburg on to the north.
-
Here is the 12z NAM precipitation. It cut back for the LSV on to the east & north. 6z top 12z bottom
-
12z NAM makes this event mostly all snow for just about everyone north of the MD line. It cut back on precipitation this run as the low exits more east than northeast this run. This track would work especially if it juices back up in future runs.
-
We just need to sit back & watch the individual storm threats emerge. Last week, some were skeptical that the pattern would change & there would be no chance early next week, yet here we are…. The players are just entering the field- right on time- now we need to see how the game unfolds….
-
6z GEFS & 6z EPS Both continue to march the “purple” further south. Harrisburg & York both get Warning level snow over 5 inches on both ensembles. Heck, the purple even reached MDT on the GEFS.
-
@CAPE is saving me a lot of time this morning…
