Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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Ensembles, extended products & pro forecasters absolutely nailed the pattern change between the 10th & 15th from forecasts several weeks ago…. We are actively already tracking a Winter storm threat in that window.
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I agree with this 100000000000%
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0z EPS & GEFS look very similar. The EPS is ramping up snow amounts & now gets the 5 inch line to Harrisburg & to the north.
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6z NAM is best case scenario run for southern PA & northern MD. The Low tracks further southeast off of coast this run, but it still gets heavier rates to southern PA.
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0z Euro looks good especially for the PA turnpike on to the north.
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Indeed…. I would pay a few bucks to see 1 more panel if it existed!
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I’ll take it… @MAG5035 handled the details quite well. 18z EPS should be interesting a little later.
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The 18z GEFS & 12z EPS are similar with amounts in the LSV. GEFS gets 5 inches to Harrisburg & York while the EPS gets 4 to these locations. The GEFS gets the overall snow line about 50 miles further south than the EPS.
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Yes, here it is, thanks..I was waiting for this…! A tradition like this must go on. I’m refilling my gas can for my snow blower!
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Good point, we will need to watch the dew points on Monday.
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18z GEFS gets Warning level snow to vast majority of CTP. 2 inch line is down to DC!
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18z GEFS looks very nice for all of us…
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Let’s do this! Happy Friday all!
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12z GFS top 18z bottom
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Warning level snow this run even down to York & Lancaster this run
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I think some people are already drinking at Happy hour?!? The 18z GFS IMPROVED over 12z…even for the southern tier. Reminder… Most of us don’t live right on the MD line, lol!
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We will need good rates to get the job done.
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The initial low in the 12z Euro gets to WV before the transfer to the coastal. Slight improvement over 0z Euro on the Kuchera snow maps for Rouzerville, York & Harrisburg areas. Good run especially turnpike area on north.
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While hopefully feasting on the Euro over my lunch…. Here are the 12z GEFS individual ensemble members, I count roughly 20 of the 30 members would work for many of us.
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Beautiful!
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Not in Pillow….
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Yes, we will need a strong low positioned properly off of the coast to bring us heavier rates to get the chance of good snow to the LSV.
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I guess my point is that at this range I would rather see the stabilizing of the Euro & GFS, with the risk of whiff on the other models instead of a locking in of models saying “wagons north”.
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We still have a long way to go until the Monday night/Tuesday am event. Later today, the NAM & RGEM wil be in range towards the end of their runs. The Euro & GFS say we are in the game, so it will be interesting to see where this ends up by Monday.
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It kind of looked that way at the end of the RGEM as well.
