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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. @MAG5035 There is a nice snow shower rolling through Marysville. There is a light covering outside again. I might need to put .1 or .2 in the books for today between the 2 snow showers.
  2. The 0z GFS is starting to look like many of the runs from a few days ago that brought good snow to many of us. The height of the storm in mid afternoon has moderate snow from around the turnpike & to the north from Carlisle & on to the east. The trend is our friend so far with the NAM & now GFS tonight!
  3. Well, if the NAM’s are right, you would get your win & so would @Itstrainingtime from his original forecast that he made several days ago for this event of 2-4 inches of snow.
  4. The 12k & 3k NAM both upped their snow totals before the mixing with sleet begins later on Saturday.
  5. The 18z GFS did not back down. It has this event as a primarily snow event at the height of the storm from the turnpike on north once you get towards Harrisburg.
  6. Yes, I passed through a light squall on 283 on the way home. My wife & kids said when I got home that Marysville had a decent snow squall. The car tops have a solid coating of snow.
  7. The GFS for Next weekend’s Miller B potential storm was HECS worthy !
  8. A couple of inches of snow packed down by sleet & a little freezing rain followed by a cold week is fine for me. Then, hopefully it will be time to go big game hunting for a significant snowstorm the last week of the month!
  9. The 18z EPS supports the @Itstrainingtime forecast of 2-4 inches of snow for Saturday before the mixing.
  10. @pasnownut & all snow hounds on here, Please take a look at the 18z GFS ! It delivers snow next weekend around the 25th with a Miller B storm & then delivers a Miller A a few days after that. If this dream scenario unfolded as shown, we would suddenly all be ahead of our pace for our season average snow by the end of January. The upcoming pattern supports cold with an active storm track, so hopefully this fantasy run has the chance to become a reality. We will know for sure in 2 weeks...
  11. Yes, we are on the line in the Susquehanna Valley on the 18z GFS. It will come down to temps in all layers of the atmosphere. Reading gets 5 inches of snow while Harrisburg gets .5 of sleet on the 18z GFS. It is that close. The short range models will give us a better idea over the next 2 days.
  12. The 6z GEFS at least looks similar to the 0z Euro Op run. At this point, I would be more than happy with 2-4 inches of snow this weekend. We should have opportunities for better snowstorm chances over the last 10 days of the month.
  13. The 6z GFS took a large step back on CTP snow. For now, I’ll just take the average of the super reliable Canadian & the good old Euro from 0z. That math should work out... Hopefully today the 12z models can bring more clarity to the weekend forecast.
  14. The 0z Canadian agreed with the GFS & still brings good snow to CTP.
  15. The 0z GFS still brings good snow to CTP, but snow totals were a little less than 18z. It brings the snow in to the Susquehanna Valley by mid morning on Saturday. We need the leading wave of precip to pack as much punch as possible. Hopefully the short range models will ramp things up over the next few days.
  16. The 18z EPS improved slightly from 12z today. Hopefully 0z tonight treats us well.
  17. The 18z GEFS still looks good for Saturday snow. We have seen this countless times, where models have a “mid range crisis” 4 or 5 days out from a storm, only to then go back to what they had originally from longer range. Heck, even last weeks snow storm, the Euro had going strongly into the lakes, while the GFS was south & east. Then, in the short range, our snow event came back together. Hopefully the Euro gets back on board by tomorrow. Here is that 18z GEFS.
  18. Yes, it sure did make a good difference. The 18z GFS held serve again & said game still very much on for CTP ! It actually improved slightly for many areas in CTP.
  19. Yes, great post @MAG5035 The 6z GFS & GEFS held serve & look very good for our Saturday snow.
  20. Here are the 0z Euro & Canadian. There is growing model consensus that most of CTP could be in store for several inches of snow on Saturday.
  21. It sure was a very nice 0z GFS run ! Here is a panel that @Itstrainingtime , @pasnownut & @daxx would also approve, along with the 10:1 & Kuchera ratio snow maps.
  22. The 18z GFS & GEFS look great for CTP snow on Saturday. This has the chance to be our best event of the season...so far... Also, the good pattern change is just beginning. It would be fantastic to get out of the bad pattern on Friday & immediately get snow on Saturday. Many times, we have to wait for snow after the pattern flips. The pattern looks really good for the rest of the month into at least early February.
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