Blizzard of 93

From 5pm onward, MDT had .12 of additional precip. So, the final snow total for the event at MDT should end up at 4 inches at the final daily summary.

We ended up putting 3 inches of snow in the books here in Marysville for this event today.

MDT at the 5 pm daily update had measured 2.9 inches of snow today. Between 5pm & 6pm, MDT recorded another .08 of precip, so the snow total at the final daily summary overnight will go up. With a couple of hours of light snow, maybe MDT will cross the 4 inch mark for this event as well.

I have a about 2.5 inches of snow here in Marysville as of 530 pm with steady moderate snow currently. There was around 2.5 at my work in Middletown( right across from MDT) as of around 430 pm. Congrats to all that cashed in with our Farm Show snow !

The 6z Euro is still on board!

Here are the 6z NAMs & GFS. I would like to sign up for the 3k NAM...

Good points. The timing should help with the bulk of the decent precip arriving in late afternoon to early evening. Also, dew points are in the low 20’s, so even though surface temps might be above freezing, they should wetbulb down nicely when decent precip arrives.

I’m looking forward to possibly my best snow event of the season. All that I need to get there is to top a “heavy coating” !

Here is another view of the GFS.

The 0z NAMs upped the ante for tomorrow’s snow potential. The LSV could get a half decent snow event tomorrow if the good trends continue.

The EPS at 12z today was a massive step in the right direction for a better pattern beginning in about 10 days. By day 10 on the EPS, the trough is pushing towards the east & the southeast ridge has finally decreased just to our south. This could be the beginning of a workable pattern for winter weather. A storm could ride the boundary & we could be just on the good side to produce winter weather in PA. By day 15 on the EPS, the mean trough has advanced to the center of the country. The PNA is rising & the southeast ridge has been buried to the Carolinas. Also, all caveats aside about snow maps at long range, the EPS snow map showed a nice increase between day 10 & 15. I am posting it just to show the winter storm potential if the EPS is on the right track.

The 18z Euro agreed with the rest of the other 18z models for the LSV.

Here you go sir ! There is good agreement between the 18z GFS,3k NAM, & high res Canadian. The LSV from around the turnpike & south looks good for 1 to 2 inches of snow by tomorrow evening.

The 6z Euro keeps us in the game for a little PA Farm Show snow tomorrow.

Unfortunately the 12z Euro looks more like the GFS. Lots of time considering that the storm doesn’t even begin to develop until early Tuesday.

The 12z Canadian held steady & looks good for CTP.

Yes, one run we are in the bullseye & the next we are not. The storm doesn’t even form until tomorrow, so there is lots of time to resolve. The Euro & Canadian have been fairly consistent with putting CTP in a good spot for this event over the last few days. I’m anxious to see what they have to say at 12z today.

The 0z Euro & 6z NAM saved the day & brought CTP back to the good snow on Tuesday !

We only might need to wait until Tuesday to get some white gold ! I’m going to try to ignore the long range until after Tuesday’s event... The 12z Euro & especially the 12z Canadian put all of CTP in a good spot for a light to moderate snow event on Tuesday afternoon & evening.

Here is the 6z Euro Control which goes out longer in time than the 6z Op Euro run. This shows the entire event for all of CTP & gets @pasnownut & @Bubbler86 into the decent snow...

The 6z Euro had the best run yet for the Tuesday snow chance. The 6z Euro runs only go out to 90 hours, so I can extrapolate a few more hours of snow for the Susquehanna Valley if it the run went out a little longer. I don’t know why these images are showing up on here out of order...

CTP is on board with our Tuesday snow chance. This is from their discussion today: Into the mid and long range period, there remains plenty of model spread and forecast uncertainty. However, a very busy pattern looks in store, with broad consensus that some phasing of northern and southern stream energy over the state late Tuesday or early Wednesday will support a gradually strengthening area of low pressure with the potential for a light to moderate snowfall/mixed precip event.

The 0z & 6z model runs continued the positive trend for some CTP snow on Tuesday. The LSV, especially those areas near I-81, now look to be in play for the chance at a couple of inches of snow by late Tuesday. Here is the 6z GFS.

@pasnownut & @MAG5035 What are your thoughts on the Saturday pm to Sunday am winter storm potential?

The 18z EPS looks good for the overnight Sunday potential.