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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. CTP seems really confident in the chance of snow, especially for 5 days out. My point & click has an 80% chance of snow for Friday night for the Harrisburg area.
  2. The 12z Euro Op & EPS Ensemble are both in agreement & on board for good front end snow next weekend.
  3. Yes, the quicker that the storm next weekend moves in, will be for the better for more front end snow. That 1040 High in Ontario should really help the cause. The secondary that the GFS is forming off off the Delmarva should help hold in the cold as well. The front end snow was very nice on the 12z GFS.
  4. # 3 - Another storm that looks inbound that I am extrapolating for the 29th.
  5. It’s right around when many models for the past few days have been saying the temps should drop- sometime Thursday or Friday this week.
  6. The 6z GFS said “Let’s line ‘em up” to the winter storm potential over the 2 weeks!
  7. The 6z GEFS had a nice uptick in good wintry solutions for CTP for next Saturday.
  8. The 18z GFS is still good for next Saturday for a very solid front end thump of snow followed by ice then rain at the end.
  9. Don’t worry too much... next weekend we might be shoveling snow ....
  10. Here are the 12z GEFS snow maps. The first map is through next Sunday after our first potential event next weekend. The second map is through day 16. We should be very busy in here for the rest of the month!
  11. Our crazy Canadian friend at 12z has an even colder look for next Saturday & develops a secondary low to our south east that locks in the cold & unleashes a great looking winter storm. If we divided it’s outcome by 2 or 3, most of us would be thrilled!
  12. The 12z GFS is on board with snow to ice for us next Saturday. The high to our north east looks strong & this system looks to have a ton of moisture.
  13. Ha ha! I’m not upset. I love anytime that this board gets a good discussion going. @pasnownut is too busy now with his snowmobile in upstate NY to be worried about the warm up talk. I am very comforted by knowing that this warm up is temporary. We only have 5 days until winter returns. The best days of this winter will be starting next weekend!
  14. Yes, that’s the time that I was upset about the warm up. I had told you that there was no way that we would go over 70... but you were right & we almost hit 80 ! Then, after that, things got really good with -NAO blocking & we got hit with that good snowstorm with over a foot in the middle of March.
  15. Here you go @canderson , this ought to cheer you up. This is the snow map from the 0z EPS & 0z GEFS through day 15. All of the snow is from next weekend through the following week. This is a heck of a signal for the chances of Winter storms going way up !
  16. Just wait or take a break until Friday. Winter is coming back with a vengeance!
  17. The upcoming pattern looks to be turning colder with storm chances beginning next weekend through the following week. The EPS starts to look good in 10 days & continues to look good at day 15. The pattern looks to hold through at least the end of January. Here is the 0z EPS at day 10 & day 15, & the average 500 mb height anomaly average between day 10 & 15. The trough is firmly in the east, the ridge is in the west & there is some blocking up top.
  18. We will be back in the snow chasing business next week! Winter returns next Friday. Winter storm potential next weekend. The ensembles look amazing for the last 10 days of January!
  19. The 6z GFS brings the pattern change by next Thursday. Then it has a few winter storm chances for the following week.
  20. The ensembles are looking very nice for winter storm chances once we get beyond the next week.
  21. Yes, thankfully I moved my trash cans inside the yard this morning after I saw your post last night about the wind !
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