Blizzard of 93

Hopefully we will all live many years to tell the tale of the 2020 Great Winter Saving Blizzard that hits us on March 18th. The models should start to lock in on it tomorrow. It will be a Widespread 18 to 28 inch storm from DC to NYC, but will miss New England (I don’t like the Pats & Celtics so much...). It will stretch back to the I-99 corridor to get @MAG5035 closer to his seasonal average. Plus, for selfish reasons, I want him hit with the storm so we get his full detailed analysis in all of its glory. It will particularly nail the he LSV so much so that @Itstrainingtime will have to actually turn his heat on from the frigid temps that accompany the blowing & drifting snow for 3 days. Our friend @pasnownut will be able to snowmobile through the fields & streets of Lancaster County. A CTP wide Winter Storm Warning for 8 to 14 inches will be upgraded during the morning of the storm to a Blizzard Warning for 18 to 28 inches of snow. Despite the Warning & the radar lit up like a Christmas tree with a solid heavy precip shield stretching from Louisiana to West Virginia, our buddy @canderson will be more concerned about the trees on Front Street in Harrisburg than the snow. He will boldly proclaim that he bets MDT won’t get more than 6 inches of snow. Unfortunately @Bubbler86 will be in Florida during the storm, but he will still be wondering why CTP won’t count the storm total for the Winter instead of the season. @Voyager will also miss out on the storm due to the Tamaqua snow shield that must be the equivalent of the Bermuda Triangle. Somehow @Cashtown_Coop will be the jackpot winner and will report a final snow total of 32 inches. I’m sure that there will be many more stories to follow with this legendary event to come. Please add your thoughts because I know that I left many out of this tale for now, but we have 17 days until the event unfolds...

Here are the 12z EPS, GEFS & Canadian ensembles for the next 15 or 16 days. #notdonetracking

The 12z EPS, GEFS & Canadian ensembles all say that we might not be done with snow chances during the next 2 weeks.

The EPO on the EPS continues to look like we will have periods of time in the negative territory. We should have some chances if the -EPO ends up verifying.

No, the CTP comment is just for Met Winter, Not the season. The full season is All snow from Fall 2019 to Spring of 2020. No one, including CTP, is done counting snow for this season yet.

The 12z GFS & Canadian were not on board for next Friday. No need to fear, the GFS has a crushing snow storm for most of CTP on March 11th. It brings a winter saving 16-20 inches of snow. The bullseye appears to be right over the homes of @pasnownut & @Itstrainingtime Hey, at least it’s under 300 hours out. What could possibly go wrong... ? Maybe this time it will be even 25% to 50% right? These maps are too good not to post !

The 12z UKMET looks rather interesting for the winter storm chance early this Friday. It has a low sitting just off of the DelMarVa with good precip over all of CTP.

Congrats! I am just hoping to see some snow flakes here in the Harrisburg area!

We should have a few periods of -EPO which should give us a least a chance of winter weather.

I agree, I’m not anticipating some 2 week long cold pattern. We just need 2 days of cold with a well tracked & timed system. We have all of March to get it done.

I don’t think we are done. There are threats popping up starting later this week & beyond. For Example, I just posted last nights Euro for the chance later next week. I think that we will get at least 1 minor to moderate snow event before we close the shop for the season.

It also looks like some of us will have the chance at a snow shower by this afternoon. There is a decent line forming now to the north of I 80 that is dropping to the south. Maybe a “light coating” is possible for some of us ?

The 0z Euro was close to producing a nice winter storm next Friday. The look at 500mb was more impressive than what the surface produced. Verbatim, It did bring some snow to parts of the LSV , but brought more snow to NJ & New England. The Canadian also had a similar evolution last night & crushed southern New England with snow. Here is a look at the Euro at 500 & surface.

I might actually need to brush a little snow off of the windshield in the morning! This is only a “partial coating”. Hopefully I will be able to handle the snow removal!

Nice! Congrats! The squall line has made it now to me in Marysville! CTP extended their Special Weather Statement to include parts of the LSV.

I saw something strange when I got back to Marysville this evening.... SNOW FLURRIES ! I was quite startled...

We have 5 realistic weeks to score snow. Hopefully we can time up a lucky fluke event or two before true Spring arrives in April.

The 0z Euro provided that chance for a warning level event, & it’s “only” 10 days away. I would sign up for this right now. Enjoy for 12 hours until the next full Euro run!

Thanks ! I’m still tracking snow for another month until the bitter end. In the longer term, the 18z GEFS had one one of its better runs in recent days. Just about all of the snow for the Susquehanna Valley falls in week 2. Maybe we will get a few events to track in March? At this point, I would settle for 1 good CTP wide Winter storm Warning all snow event.

The 0z NAMs looked very similar to the 18z run that I posted above. Let’s see what the rest of the 0z runs bring tonight.

The 18z NAMs liked the idea of changing over much of CTP, including most of the LSV, over to snow by Thursday morning. Some of the global models have also shown this potential on & off over the last couple of days. Maybe this time it will actually come to fruition ?

We might have a chance at a dusting or “heavy coating”, as @Itstrainingtime prefers to call it, on Friday from a weak Clipper. Also, the long range 18Z GFS presented some opportunities for a few snow chances between March 6th & 10th. Who know, maybe we will get lucky & score at least once in March? Heck, at this point, I will take my potential heavy coating on Friday & like it.

The 0z Euro Control Run has a winter storm for us & it is only 12 days away ! This is the 1 that we have been waiting for. Enjoy it for around 6 hours until the 12z run comes out...

Yes, they must just be trying to confuse people with semantics. The official government records will record all snow from the Fall through the Spring.

The official stats for the National Weather Service have always been for the snow season running from first flakes in the fall to onion snows in the spring. The official snow recording season won’t end until this spring.