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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    Unfortunately the Euro this run hits a wall & takes the best snow into VA & DC this run. Still not a bad spot to be 5 or 6 days out.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, no need to apologize, but do you have the Ukie Kuchera map?
  3. Blizzard of 93
    Here’s another Ukie map I ripped from another thread. Still 10-1, but zoomed in & for the whole event.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    @mitchnick is busy in the other thread, but I just stole this 12z Ukie from them. I would like to see a more zoomed in Kuchera for the whole event if someone has it. WB doesn’t have good Ukie maps…
  5. Blizzard of 93
    @mitchnick Please post the Ukie for us!
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Indeed, still 6 days to go. I like that the cutter idea is fading, but now we need to avoid suppression. Over the years, lows that track to Kentucky & fade or jump to the VA Capes, usually bring the main swath of precip into at least the southern half of PA.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    The Canadian still shears out at the last minute, but I like the look it had with the low in Southwest Kentucky and the associated precip position. Ease that confluence just a bit & it would work well for southern PA.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    The Canadian is rolling & so far looks more amped like the ICON & Euro.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    Good start to 12z!
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Can you please post his thoughts when you get the chance? I tried to find it on their twitter page & website, but didn’t see anything today about the next week possibilities.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    It was good to see the overnight model runs bring back the end of next week chance of a coastal possibly on the 10th & 11th. All options are on the table, hopefully we cash in at least once. Lots of tracking fun & games ahead.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    That’s music to my ears! Good to hear that he is possibly on board.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    It’s a delicate balance with this storm, with the strength of the low, the latitude it reaches & where it redevelops. The good thing is that we will have ample cold in place, so I’m confident if we get a solid precip shield, we will stay mostly snow. I don’t want to see it be weak & sheared out. I like where we sit in the southern third of PA for Monday.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Good morning, see what I did there… I put the “100” on your 50% post, Lol. Nothing is ever truly 100, but as you said, cautious optimism is increasing for our snow chances next week.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    I watched his video as well & just looked up this 1964 storm that he referenced… I would settle for a fraction of this.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    0z ICON just made a significant move towards the Euro for the Monday Winter storm chance.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    Significant move towards the Euro.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    The yearly surplus at MDT is in trouble unless they get about 1.5” of rain by the time the ball drops at midnight on Tuesday night.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    The snow maps for both runs are beyond drool worthy. We need to get the track for the first storm chance on the 6th narrowed down, which will then help to determine if we will have a second opportunity later next week. Either way, it’s going to be entertaining to see how these play out. We could win on both, get one or the other or strike out, all options are still on the table.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Beautiful runs indeed. My handbook says to take the 0z Euro for the 6th & the 6z GFS for the 10th. Lol, let’s try to get those two runs anywhere close to verifying & then call it a Winter.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z GFS would be a nice way to start the potential Winter pattern next Monday the 6th. This solution would be a compromise from the previous cutting tracks & the southern slider option.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Enjoy the short break on home heating costs… the deep freeze returns in a few days.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    There’s lot of cold air in place by that potential event, so this run has a Warning level amount of snow for most of us, followed by mix them dry slot. Long way to go, but that wasn’t a bad run.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    The happy hour GFS is getting into the good stuff this run…
  25. Blizzard of 93
    There is a lot to be determined as the pattern gets established. A system on the 5th or 6th is becoming more likely, with the track details still several days away. Severe cold is often over modeled at range. Yes, I think we get cold, but how far south the cold reaches & the severity is still to be determined. Lots of possibilities & all outcomes are still on the table.
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