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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    It a still lightly snowing over most of PA at the end of the 90 hour 18z run, so most of us would tack on maybe another 1 or 2 inches of snow on top of these amounts.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Here is a close up CTP view of the 18z Euro snow map.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, very good 18z Euro run. I love seeing the low position at the southern end of the DelMarVa peninsula. Usually that is a great position that delivers the heavy snow goods to the LSV during a solid coastal storm. Here is a close up of this panel at 10pm Sunday night.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    I like this map. Very bold for them 3 to 4 days out.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    Someone let @Wmsptwx know about this wind! He asked during the overnight shift and I deferred to our forum wind super expert @canderson !
  6. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z Euro & GFS are making my lunch break that much better. Good to see the slight eastward progression today. Close agreement on snow between these 2 models at this time. The zig zag nature of the low as it approaches the MD/VA still looks bizarre. I still think we have time more more positive trends.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    His top analog is March 2nd to 4th of 1994. That was a major interior snow storm especially towards true central PA. 16 year old Blizz got 12 inches of snow & sleet mix in Harrisburg. It was the heaviest & longest duration sleet that I experienced until February Valentine’s storm of 2007.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    That works for me! Bring the good rates for 6 or more hours of heavy snow & then let the chips fall where they may.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    As some have pointed out in here & in the the Mid Atlantic thread, the models are trying to figure out where to place the low as it stacks at our latitude.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    We still have a few days to get a 50 or so mile adjustment in the Ops which would give the LSV a better chance at more snow.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GEFS is still well east of other Ops & ensembles.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 6z GFS. Slight shift east on 6z vs. 0z. Then a second low developed off of the coast of southern New England at hour 102.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Ask @canderson tomorrow?
  14. Blizzard of 93
    My handbook says to just hug the model that gives me the most snow… so tonight the winner is the 0z ICON.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 0z Euro snow.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    0z Euro still brings the low right into the LSV. The low this run actually passes not too far from my house on Monday morning. It still has a solid front end thump of snow for most of us.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    The low should ride the boundary. The boundary is not in the middle of CTP as some of the Ops have shown over the last day.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Indeed again..
  19. Blizzard of 93
    Indeed…
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, very slight.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    18z EPS probability of 6 inches of snow or more for this event.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Great to see the High over upstate NY too.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    That would help and slightly weaker system would help it not over amp too soon before it reaches our latitude.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the Harrisburg forecast from CTP. Sunday A chance of snow after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 80%. M.L.King Day A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Now you’re talking!
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