A Miller B scenario is ok as long as the secondary low forms far enough to our south. It all depends on that High to the north. It needs to work in tandem with the low. It can’t be too far back, which would allow the initial low to gain too much latitude for most of CTP for a more Wintry possible outcome.
6z GFS still has a mix to light snow for a good chunk of CTP on Saturday.
Just need the minor northern steam piece to speed up just a bit to get out of the way allowing the developing High in south central Canada to push eastward a little more quickly. The GFS gets it done more so than other models at this point, but the general idea is now there on most models. Hopefully it trends a little better over the next couple of days.
If that happens we would have a better chance of a minor Winter event.
Better 0z runs of the GFS & Canadian tonight for next weekend.
Emerging High pressure in Ontario is helping to steer the weak low to the south on both models tonight.
Hopefully this trend continues tomorrow.
12z GFS has a slightly further north north evolution of last night’s good run.
This run it takes the low to western PA & then develops a coastal low south of Long Island, flipping the northern half of PA from a mix over to snow.
NFC Championship game day!
Turkey is already roasting in the oven for the pre game feast…
Hopefully victorious glory is on the way by this evening…
Between the feast & the game, there is only one thing to say… Go Birds!