*Flash*

Yeah, that SOI sauce be crazy. As some have mentioned, the devil is in the latency of effect, but to what gives us stronger amp, we should generally root for. On an unrelated note, what are our thoughts on the second half of winter? I got one more bag Fry set to arrive on 12/17/25 so I'll be grounded from chasin' for 6 weeks (wife can't drive post c-section). Come Groundhog's Day, I'll be able to get back on the road and potentially bring my 10-year-old with me.

Truth. A hot thread during winter is generally a great thing!

I'm refusing to get my hopes up though the maps look pretty. Per this run, I imagine there will be gnashing of teeth in metro. Glad I chose the W/NW side of town to dwell.

If we can get the cold to cooperate next month, it's hard to see a scenario in which most of the forum doesn't score. Diggin' the high precip signal on the CFS. Shouldn't be any shortage of trackable systems to close out the year.

So, my wife didn't capture it...but as this vid was recording, our 16' diameter trampoline went airborne behind the house into an open lot ~100 yards away. It was completely shredded upon finding it the next day. Thankfully, our only house damage was to our chimney cover. Still, there were several downed trees, some clearly by lightning strikes, and many disheartened children realizing their playgrounds are now rubble. Santa has time to come through though! Nashville SevereWx Storm Coverage Replay:

My hometown got crushed by the severe storms today. I didn't take the photo below but was parked within the hail core. Got trees split in the backyard I'll need to clean up tomorrow. Gotta get my kiddos a new trampoline too.

Shades of 2010-11 almost. These days, if you give me a pattern evolution supporting 66.67% of calendar winter as actual winter, I'll take it. No questions asked.

Bookmarking this for reference. Boy, what I'd give for this look in a couple months!

I can’t say I disagree. Sorry, @Carvers Gap, I know this doesn’t help with your latest inquiry.

I’m worried about this year’s hurricane season, ya’ll… https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1CDF5AFnTR/?mibextid=wwXIfr

About a half mile from Hwy 7 approaching Santa Fe yesterday. Thankfully the tornado that trigged the warning had lifted by this point, but you can still see the rain curtain/hail shaft!

I'm fine with either. Honestly, the profile name isn't comic-inspired but ties to a childhood nickname. With my first name being 'Cameron', I often responded whenever someone around me said, 'camera'. I thought they were calling for me.

Bobby Boyd is sounding the alarm for large hail for parts of the midstate Friday night... "I think the graphic speaks for itself. One thing that's bothersome is the deep elevated mixed layer on Friday. Larger hailers should be in proximity of the boundary."

I drove through that black triangle over Cool Springs last Thursday. Ice marble accumulation the size of quarters made for an interesting commute.

Crazy intense storms in my hometown today. Synced some local footage to my chase time lapse...

Or I guess it could have been where the hail was falling. SPC reports had big reports just west of me…

No tornado…but an ominous lowering just northeast of Russellville earlier today. Plenty of greenage with that cell as it moved through Franklin, Lawrence, and Lauderdale counties. Some secondaries in and around the Shoals were closed off due to flash flooding and tree damage. Overall, storm mode was wayyy messier than I anticipated. I doubt the SPC risk zones verify for northern Alabama when all is said and done.

Man, you can really see that warm front on reflectivity!

Yeah, the threat all rides on cap status. These 'boom or bust' nocturnal threats...not my favorite at all.

I'm considering chasing tomorrow into southern IL as opposed to going south on Saturday. Terrain and timing are motivating factors. Thoughts?

Wouldn't surprise me if middle TN comes out of this relatively unscathed, granted for west/southern middle/southeast TN...different story. Too many times in this scenario, I've seen some sort of stabilizing intrusion cap the severe criteria potential. Looking at the 18z guidance, the bulk of the greatest energy will be well south of BNA. Plenty of time for adjustments but frankly, I'm not worried or amped up about the threat. That said, I'm looking forward to a chase down 65. Could be a red letter day for our friends in MS/AL/GA.

I'll have to check those forums out. Since you're cross-posting, I advise you just share the visuals directly as a courtesy. If you throw out names casually, not everyone will know who you're talking about.

Fred and Andy? What posts on here are you referring to?

13 years ago today...filmed from Brentwood on my last dumbphone. At the time, I had no idea this cell was dropping baseball sized hail (in southern Davidson) and putting down a trail of property damage. Terrible destruction in Kentucky and southern Indiana was occurring as well. I believe the greater kinematics were over those regions.

Completely unrelated but stumbled upon the Kingston Springs CF6 for January 1977. No wonder people thought an ice age return was imminent. As for 1985, despite the -52.3 departure on 1/21, that month would 'only' finish 9.5 below normal. I don't expect these cold anomalies will ever happen again...