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*Flash*

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Everything posted by *Flash*

  1. *Flash*
    Closing things out with a new time lapse! Hopefully, next time that 18-24" 5-day forecast will stick...
  2. *Flash*
    Storm evolution as noted from the top of my car. About 2” of snow, 1” of sleet, and 0.50” of freezing rain. You can clearly see the two waves here.
  3. *Flash*
    Tennessee ice totals from Winter Storm Fern...
  4. *Flash*
    Ended up with ~3.5 inches of snow/sleet/freezing rain in White Bluff. Yesterday was definitely the day to enjoy the snow. Now it's like walking on an ice shelf. No fun! Like others, I'm also concerned about the drought continuance, but I will say this. Maybe the NW trend will be out friend just one time before the winter is over. I'm perfectly fine playing the role of the Ohio River should another Fern emerge to our south/southeast on modeling.
  5. *Flash*
    But for the entire state, we’re living’ on a prayer, one way or another. Whoa ohhh… Side note: Jeff, could the colder trend lead to a longer period of sleet at BNA before the freezing rain?
  6. *Flash*
    Taking a look at that green shaft and it occurred to me: Lotta babies are going to be born in October this year. Maybe more Ferns heading into 2027?
  7. *Flash*
    Life has gotten crazy for me the past 12 hours. Could someone please advise how things are looking for Nashville metro and points west/northwest in terms of latest model adjustments?
  8. *Flash*
    Sheesh. They are updating frequently today!
  9. *Flash*
    Looks to me they should just focus on Florida.
  10. *Flash*
    Source? That doesn't align with the Winter Storm Warning language for Davidson County.
  11. *Flash*
    Looking at the 12z Euro-AI vs 6z Euro-AI out to 18z Sunday, the 1" snow threshold shifted southeast by an entire county, at least in middle. Hopefully, we'll see some more south/southeastern correction as the today unfolds.
  12. *Flash*
    I imagine the CAMS might start to show the low track over the plateau or take a Miller B approach to the coast. Hopefully the thermal truth is somewhere between the Euro/CMC/NAM and the GFS with a deeper low and a stronger high overhead.
  13. *Flash*
    Nice profile pic change, John. God help any Lucy's I meet in the short term.
  14. *Flash*
    Remember what Carver said yesterday. Be nice...
  15. *Flash*
    Per ChatGPT…
  16. *Flash*
    Yeah, I'm not sure I completely buy the 12 NAM.
  17. *Flash*
    6z RDPS seems reasonable. The difference b/t 10:1 and Kuchera likely outlines the places that could see the most sleet.
  18. *Flash*
    I ask myself the same thing sometimes. You can ignore/hide people on TennesseeWx, but not AmericanWx from what I understand. Plenty of Debbie Downers on other sites contributing nothing but their mood swings. If they creep into our forum, best to just ignore them. I've been on weather forums for 20 years and this platform is by far the best in terms of knowledge base, inclusivity, AND level-headedness.
  19. *Flash*
    Good news for east TN I suppose... https://x.com/frankiemacd/status/2013760806991585329?s=46&t=jJibs_QYWrPscWIaTl9hgw
  20. *Flash*
    NBM snow totals this weekend. I'd like to see this sans my favorite model in the world (GFS).
  21. *Flash*
    I'm a nocturnal drooler so I better order one.
  22. *Flash*
    Thanks to Stovepipe's creative brilliance, I'm afreight of going to bed tonight. That Bam face can haunt for days.
  23. *Flash*
    I second the gratitude. As rough as that animation is for some, bisect TN southwest to northeast and the western half still gets a crushing wintry mix storm. The threat does not need to be downplayed.
  24. *Flash*
    Truck yeah!
  25. *Flash*
    Sorry. Had the 12z, then uploaded the wrong image. Still wonder if the NW trend is nearing its asymptote.
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