WinterWolf

At this lead there’s room for even more. How this ultimately plays out is anybody’s guess at 5-6 days out. So I guess the Ukie shows how this can creep in for more of an interesting scenario? Or not? At least it’s something to keep an eye on over the next 3-4 days?

I was just gonna post...then saw your statement, and agree completely, 8-9 days out is a complete joke. The potential system could never even materialize. lol., Even Saturday’s supposed system could evolve or morph or dissipate on modeling.

Probably not..that was 2012..that was the ratter year. Got warm/hot and stayed warm.

Hey just saying..lol. And mine was with Tip...not a melt. But it’s all good.

The way this last one went bad 24 hrs out, I wouldn’t trust any of those small nuances at this long lead for this weekend..whether it be “bad” or “good” for us here in SNE. That look and evolution will change going forward. And who knows what will come out of it, or how it will affect the next potential system(s)?

Gynxy called it/saw it coming last night. Hope it comes soon...that usually changes the pattern for the better lol.

Probably be gone next run...things will change for sure. Blocking makes the pattern do odd things...you never know what can pop up?

@The 4 Seasons: I had an inch plus for sure in Southington. But we’ll round it off to 1”. Pretty white covering all over everything..looks like early January anyway. We take, and add an inch to the stats. 17” on the season to date. Hopefully more is coming...lol.

You did well considering your latitude.

Yes, big cut off as you worked your way away from the south coast on that one.

I understand perfectly. Thanks. BTW, Blizzard of 16 didn’t completely whiff SNE. CT shore did quite well with a foot plus, and inland areas such as where I live got 8-10”. Just north of here it dropped off a cliff though.

It was a great call..nice job. Things lined up perfectly.

I’m not trying to bust yours or anybody’s chops, I’m just saying, that sure we can say the pattern is setting up very nicely, and the pattern is looking epic etc etc etc.... and all the ingredients are there. But to say a record breaking 3.5 weeks is coming with 100 plus inches of snow, is not predictable 3-4 weeks out imo, prior to the barrage of storms setting in. Cuz if one or two storms miss due to a nuance here or there, the 100 inch record breaker of 15, and January of 11 is not going to happen. I guess that’s my point .

Nobody predicted feb 15 or January 11 in advance. We can say the pattern setting up was looking very good, and it would be very active with Chances. But nobody could have predicted that ‘11 and ‘15 would have ended up like they did. If the Chances all hit...then that’s what happens. But nobody knows that specific outcome a month in advance is my point.

You already said you’re not on the January 2011 train. So I don’t get the meaning of your post? Unless you are meaning that talk from others? Jan 2011 and feb 2015 aren’t predictable...they just happen with a good pattern and some great timing/and fortune.

Agreed. :-).

Ya..maybe this turns into a couple inches overnight? We take.

And temp down to 31 here...we accumulate.

This was a model performance from 1989...just abysmal.

Gotcha.

That NYC forum is a total sh*t show...we look way better than they do, at least most times lol.

Agreed. We all want winter weather, so just let it hang out.

So where do you live? Is NH just a vacation/winter home? Or is NH your primary residency?

Moving this way?

I used to love that commercial...good one.