BlueRidgeFolklore
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Everything posted by BlueRidgeFolklore
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This would be a nice thump!
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I am going to heed your own advice from yesterday: Models tend to under-do that northern periphery of moisture and its extent. We've been here and time and time again and more times than not will the precipitation field trend further north than is currently being shown.
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Who'da thunk it would come down to this?
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All the pieces are there, this will be fun to nail down the specifics. What are your thoughts on orographic uplifting along the southern escarpment? I've seen @Rainforrest cash in with setups like this.
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Euro with a huge northern shift with the precip. This storm should now have all of our attention.
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A lot of folks also don't realize that Hendersonville is actually higher in elevation than Asheville, Sylva, Marshall, Bryson City and Cherokee and we tend to not associate it as much with it's relative elevation like we do the others.
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Yep, French Broad River Valley from AVL to Hot Springs gets rain shadowed from the south.
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Fo'real. This aint nothing new.
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If radar is to be trusted......
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Looks to be hugging CAD areas and Haywood is not the place to see a good CAD setup. Just my gut, but I doubt this trends west.
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Is it Spring yet?
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Exactly. It ebbs and flows, last 2 winters we had cold and snowy Decembers only to fail in January and February. I'd like to see a reversal for a change.
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1) Is exactly what it says, the TN border area. The TN/NC line is always a wintertime jackpot in the South. 2) Not sure the context here but it could mean the parkway or WNC as a whole. 3) The escarpment is anywhere the mountains meet the flat land but when it's mention in the context of NC, it's referring to the eastern slopes where CAD is prominent.
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Anyone see the latest GFS and Euro runs? It’s time to get into tracking mode. We have something.
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“I hear the weather is nice down south”
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Throw an extra log in the fire.
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Agreed.
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It’s good to see the usual faces showing back up in the mountain forum. Talking mountain weather with mountain folks is best, the other site with all their negativity is becoming unbearable.
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Yes sir. Winter is coming.
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I'll play the other side a little. It's not that we have forgotten, it's just that in my mind those truly great color years aren't as frequent as we like to believe. At least not in my lifetime. 2015 was absolutely spectacular but it seems to be on par with how frequent we get those years.
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There must be a distinct difference between what you're seeing in the northern mountains and what's going on in the southern mountains. Down my way it looks fine, and according to WXKnurd, the Balsams look fine. However, the southern mtns are the rainiest region in the state, so even when in drought conditions, it's typically not as bad as it appears on paper.
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I tried to tell everyone that it wasn’t a bust. The color is progressing very nicely out my way.
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We hit 42 here this morning. It damn near took my breath away when I opened the door in a t-shirt and shorts at 6am.
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Down here in Brevard, everything is still green and it’s still raining. I see no way it just browns out now. I think it’ll just be a delayed peak and I’ve seen some good ones every now and then...
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The mountains aren’t in as big of a drought as many believe. Everything is plenty green, we just need sustained cool nights.
