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BlueRidgeFolklore

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Everything posted by BlueRidgeFolklore

  1. Agreed but we can never have too much cold air building to our north. Looks like we'll rely on wedge fronts for reprieve during an overall warm pattern in November. I'll take that.
  2. The 12z runs are saying not so fast on a warm November, at least the start of it.
  3. Not necessarily a bad thing if you want cold around Christmas, as I've been alluding to. Eventually the teleconnections will lead to a cold pattern for us at some point, as we've seen this fall. When you look back at last year and how we got cold toward the middle to end of October, we ultimately went into November colder than we left it, which carried into a scorcher of a December. It's been a great fall, I think I can sacrifice a November for a good pattern flip coming in the dead of winter.
  4. This is a 180 from last fall where it was warm early, got cool toward the end of October through Mid-November and then flipped back to warm for December where we were in the mid-60s on Christmas. I can handle a warm (relative) November if in exchange we get a true fall and Christmas (one of which has already verified). Let's hope this warmth is a good thing.
  5. I’ll leave the mocking to flatlanders, we welcome any blue that wants to show up on a map, no matter how far out.
  6. Seems about correct to see the first flakes begin to fly. My wife's birthday is at the end of October and we always find ourselves chasing a few token flakes around that time. These were taken in 2017, which I find similar to 2020. Both were Nina years, both were wet from Summer to Early Fall, both were good color years and both seem to be trending towards a cold ending in October. I am not sure how that fares for winter, I honestly can't remember how the 2017 winter unfolded. These were taken on October 29th. We started in Bethel, NC and ended up finding snow near Max Patch.
  7. Exit 20 on I-40, turn onto Cove Creek Rd and follow the signs.
  8. This is a little lower elevation than Banner Elk or Wolf Laurel but Maples are turning like crazy here, very vibrant. Oaks and Poplars beginning the transition. Can definitely see the oranges, yellows and browns beginning to pop through the sea of green. Plenty of leaves in the road too. This was earlier coming down the mountain in Transylvania County.
  9. I was up there Sunday. Color is starting to pop through. Not sure how the weather is going to be there this weekend however. Keep an eye out!
  10. Looking good. Definitely looks, especially in the valleys. This week should really send it into hyperdrive.
  11. It is west, but ENC and the Piedmont appear to the take the brunt of the rain right now. It'll be interesting to see if the westward trend continues however.
  12. The only way to coexist is to accept what bears do. They don't have the ability to reason, they don't know that your car, your house, your bird feeders, your trash are off limits. To them, they're just trying to survive and it's free game! Bear populations have exploded in the mountains because hardly anyone is hunting them anymore and until bear hunters are welcome again, it will continue to explode and human/bear interactions will continue to increase. That's just the harsh truth.
  13. If this verifies and we can ride this pattern into mid-October, there's a good chance we could see our first flakes flying in the higher elevations in less than a month. I've seen it a few of times in my lifetime here.
  14. Gut feeling based on years past but I believe we're finally going to get a real fall this year.
  15. We're officially heading toward a La Nina winter. That's not a bad thing for the mountains (obviously El Nino didn't do anything for us last year) depending on it's strength. We've had some decent La Nina winters in the last decade.
  16. Looks like today and tomorrow could be the last days in the 80's for the majority of the mountains.
  17. I honestly think it'll land somewhere between. Seasonal and dry. I'll take that.
  18. I think you're right. It has been a sloppy freaking mess all summer. Ridiculous. Hard to believe it was just 4yrs ago that we were building toward conditions that would lead to the costliest wildfires in our areas history. Feast or famine around here.
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