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BlueRidgeFolklore

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Everything posted by BlueRidgeFolklore

  1. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Chris Justus saying he’s not changing his forecast.
  2. BlueRidgeFolklore
    What do you think is causing the short range models to struggle with this?
  3. BlueRidgeFolklore
    There you go! Boom!
  4. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Not for the mountains. Actually bumped up from this morning.
  5. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Jason looked at this thread (me specifically) and said “keep talkin’ that sh*t” touché
  6. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Those numbers went up for the southern escarpment.
  7. BlueRidgeFolklore
    It’s not a trend. NWS had a disco earlier where they were confident the LP was heading towards 95, not taking a dip in Lake Chatuge. NAM is struggling to resolve this for some reason.
  8. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Like clockwork, CAD appears stronger as well.
  9. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Man, where did @HurricaneTracker go? Haven’t seen him in a while!
  10. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Been like that forever, hence why we start a Mountain Thread every year.
  11. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Safe bet. 6” increments gives a ton of room for variation.
  12. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Depends on the setup but that feature nearly always shows up in the models with CAD setups and it’s not simply a snow hole in AVL but a stretch of lower totals extending the entire river valley from Madison into Buncombe. Makes sense, all the cold air is dammed up along the eastern escarpment, so any access to the warmer air west of the Apps would cut totals. Obviously the higher elevations in this region still do well.
  13. BlueRidgeFolklore
    To hell with the cashier, I’m hitting the express self checkout.
  14. BlueRidgeFolklore
    CJ upped his totals after GSP posted some bullish numbers.
  15. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Go up to Bearwallow for Blizzard conditions
  16. BlueRidgeFolklore
    That “V” of lower totals on the GFS coming into Asheville from Madison County, is due to the French Broad River Valley funneling in warmer air from TN. That’s always a battleground area with CAD. In these setups, AVL isn’t Black Mountain. Black Mountain will do well.
  17. BlueRidgeFolklore
    CAD is almost always underdone at this range. As Ward and others have said, this will likely get corrected as we get closer.
  18. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Jason Boyer after seeing the 6z Euro. (I kid, I kid)
  19. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Jason always takes an indifferent stance with these storms. Give his followers just enough to understand that there is a major winter storm coming, but backs off just short of going all in to save himself the humiliation and ire if it all goes wrong. If you forecast 6” and get 12”, what wonderful surprise. If you forecast 12” and get 5”, it’s pitchforks and bayonets.
  20. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Just saw his post. Mind boggling to say the least.
  21. BlueRidgeFolklore
    64 Special incoming. From Hendo to Brevard up to Toxaway, Cashiers, Highlands and Franklin. I can see 15+ in some of the higher elevations around there.
  22. BlueRidgeFolklore
    She’s a beaut Clark.
  23. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Me too. CAD should likely trend stronger as we get closer. There is no doubt that we’re about to get walloped.
  24. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Great Googly Moogly!
  25. BlueRidgeFolklore
    I’ve noticed on the latest HRRR and NAM runs for that area around KAVL, it wants to bleed cold air down the river valley into Henderson County. You might get a surprise!
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