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Everything posted by BlueRidgeFolklore
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2020 Spring and Summer mountain thread.
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
Welp..... July is winding down and that means August is the unofficial start to the WNC fall and winter discussion. Everyone should start trickling back in soon. Better get warmed up, it's going to be a marathon! -
2020 Spring and Summer mountain thread.
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
Transylvania has been getting hammered. By the way, this is how it felt watching your snow posts all winter. -
2020 Spring and Summer mountain thread.
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
Who would actually believe such nonsense? -
2020 Spring and Summer mountain thread.
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
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2020 Spring and Summer mountain thread.
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
Lookin' warm and dry coming up. Is it taboo to say I aint mad? -
2020 Spring and Summer mountain thread.
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
Someone has to make the sacrifice. Godspeed, IceAge! -
2020 Spring and Summer mountain thread.
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Met1985's topic in Southeastern States
"Gonna be 75 and sunny today with a chance of 30 and snow, can't rule out a tornado or 2, and it wouldn't surprise me if it came a gully washer this afternoon" -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
My comment was a general response to the discussion not a counter to any specifics. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
From Highlands to Hendersonville are going to get lambasted. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
They're showing more for Salisbury than atop Mt. Mitchell. I'm sorry, but there is no on this earth that I am going to buy into that map right now. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
The main point is that there is ZERO guidance that even suggests it at this point. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Heck, the NAM just showed a thump here. There is no way that can be right. No way! -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
I'm going with 2000', right along the escarpment. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
They were bullish for WNC in January 2016 storm but even then the totals crept up as we got closer. I don't think it's wishcasting to say these totals will go up when the Euro is showing 12" probabilities for KAVL at 100%. My gut just tells me based off experience, that these (for the Mountains only) are their conservative numbers. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
I have never seen GSP put out a map this bullish 3-4 days out. Heck, I'm not even sure the wave has been properly sampled yet. Rest assured this is a warning shot. These totals WILL go up for the mountains. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
That's exactly my thought. I wouldn't put too much stock into the CMC at this point. It's on an island. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
You should have learned from experience not to get your hopes up in first place, when you're sitting in those areas. Lol. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
They both nailed the forecast in WNC when IIRC, Jason Boyer was very conservative. However, I think that storm is where Chris became really gun shy of the I-85 corridor and still is today. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
That's a 24hr snow map, initializing Tuesday at 2p (so from Monday 2p to Tuesday 2p). By that time, the storm is leaving WNC/Upstate and heading Northeast. That's why it looks the way it does. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
He's basing it off of climo telling him the 85 corridor is nearly always the freezing despite what the models say. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Did it just disappear? Lol. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Hot spot still continues to be along the escarpment, esepcially where the east/west escarpment meet north/south there in the Saluda, Hendersonville, Bat Cave, Gerton area. I can see that area getting rocked! -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
That's pretty typical with CAD storms. The higher mountains simply block the cold air from reaching that far SW corner of NC. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Mt. Mitchell. -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
BlueRidgeFolklore replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
LOL at that white dot over Mt. Mitchell. Close to 4 feet I'd assume!
