BlueRidgeFolklore

Is it Spring yet?

Exactly. It ebbs and flows, last 2 winters we had cold and snowy Decembers only to fail in January and February. I'd like to see a reversal for a change.

1) Is exactly what it says, the TN border area. The TN/NC line is always a wintertime jackpot in the South. 2) Not sure the context here but it could mean the parkway or WNC as a whole. 3) The escarpment is anywhere the mountains meet the flat land but when it's mention in the context of NC, it's referring to the eastern slopes where CAD is prominent.

Anyone see the latest GFS and Euro runs? It’s time to get into tracking mode. We have something.

“I hear the weather is nice down south”

Throw an extra log in the fire.

Agreed.

It’s good to see the usual faces showing back up in the mountain forum. Talking mountain weather with mountain folks is best, the other site with all their negativity is becoming unbearable.

Yes sir. Winter is coming.

I'll play the other side a little. It's not that we have forgotten, it's just that in my mind those truly great color years aren't as frequent as we like to believe. At least not in my lifetime. 2015 was absolutely spectacular but it seems to be on par with how frequent we get those years.

There must be a distinct difference between what you're seeing in the northern mountains and what's going on in the southern mountains. Down my way it looks fine, and according to WXKnurd, the Balsams look fine. However, the southern mtns are the rainiest region in the state, so even when in drought conditions, it's typically not as bad as it appears on paper.

I tried to tell everyone that it wasn’t a bust. The color is progressing very nicely out my way.

We hit 42 here this morning. It damn near took my breath away when I opened the door in a t-shirt and shorts at 6am.

Down here in Brevard, everything is still green and it’s still raining. I see no way it just browns out now. I think it’ll just be a delayed peak and I’ve seen some good ones every now and then...

The mountains aren’t in as big of a drought as many believe. Everything is plenty green, we just need sustained cool nights.

Better but still green. I think the colors will be fine just delayed.

Did anyone else notice this? I'll take our chances in the mountains for some of that cold in the NE to CAD it's way down the mountains and give us some overrunning events like we've had the last few winters. https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/accuweathers-2019-2020-us-winter-forecast/592125 While the Northeast braces for snow and cold, the Southeast is more likely to experience a wet couple of months. Water temperatures from the Gulf of Mexico to the Southeast and mid-Atlantic coasts are running higher than normal, Pastelok said. As storms move into the east early on in the season, the warm water could generate a significant amount of rain. However, it’s not out of the question that the region could experience a winter storm, similar to last season, which brings snow or ice to areas like Winston-Salem, Charlotte or Asheville.

I'll take those chances in the mountains most definitely.

I don’t think so. Have a little faith! https://wlos.com/news/local/photos-autumn-falls-into-color-at-grandfather-mountain

I don't think so. Typically in a brownout up here you don't get that vibrant orange on the tree and contrary to everywhere else, the mountains haven't been as dry as most. Yes we've been dry but not as bad as I saw driving through the Piedmont last week.

It's coming!

Looks like we have gotten some agreement from the overnight models on some incoming fall weather next week. The first true fall front.

SER be like.....

I've always hated these maps. The passing eye would think 'scorcher' but in reality, a 30% probability is just as likely not to verify.

Good stuff. It's interesting to see so many sequential years for AVL. Especially 1925, '26' 27.