The 4 Seasons

Our latest forecast from last night, hedging on the conservative side.

Heavy Rain. 35F. Doesn't get worse than this

We'd definitely take the HERPES round here

I think 06-07, 14-15 and 15-16 were about as bad too date, little too nothing here anyways. 01-02 had the one Jan 19th storm

Not to mention a 6-12" snowstorm 2 days from now. By 1/21 i had about 20" here. 11-12 was epic compared to this shi*t

Sun comin out here. Windy and 32. Had a nice snow shower last night with a dusting but thats long gone.

Heavy echos moving onshore, i bet MVY does a lot better than forecast, probably going to have to wait until dark but if it starts snowing heavily maybe not.

James would be all over this storm. RIP

never heard of that in my life. I know people do that but never heard of or knew that it meant something.

Yeah, i was thinking that as well. In terms of snowfall to date and the foreseeable future it's about the worst start to winter since 15-16. That winter managed a double-digit departure in Dec for almost every major climo site in SNE/Tri-state area. I can't think of any other month or year which that happened, at least since 2000 anyways.

Light snow/graupel/pellets 31F roads all white, the great winter of 22/23 continues on! LET IT SNOW!

Not a snowballs chance in hell that happened.

Sure did horrible here at least, you did a lot better. Really?? That's impressive. I know Jan 7th and 29-30th,but what were the other two?

will they imbed here though? or will it just show a link to the website

And the 2017-2018 season total.

All accumulating storms from the 2017-2018 season. These files take up a lot of space on my attachments so they will live on here for about 30 days, after that you can find them at jdjweatherconsulting.com

Oh, yea i remember that storm very well What a horrible way to end a great season. In CT it was a major bust, might be top 5 of all time. We went from a watch converted to warning for 6-12 with very strong wording - near blizzard conditions and snowfall rates of 1-3" per hour. Very light white rain during the morning and afternoon later changed to a mixture of snow, sleet and graupel. We ended up with about an inch of slop. I remember the radar being extremely disorganized and showery in nature, storm never really got its act together. You guys in the NYC/LI area definitely did better but i do remember it being nearly all on grassy surfaces/car tops/benches etc with a lot of the roads just wet. Looks like a general 4-7" or so.

Marthas Vineyard is getting rocked today, their own private little snowstorm. I have family out there and been there many times, they usually get f'd so many times in winter so im happy for them. Reports of 6-7" as of early this morning till about noon. With that band sinking back south, they are back in the mod/heavy snow. I bet some locals will pick up 10-12+ there.

lol, that was cryptic never heard of "the 2 below 1"

huh????

7! Merry Christmas eve everyone

I also don't remember any decent pack at least in southern CT in the 2000s. It would always snow then melt the next day or two or at most a week. Rarely would we see a big storm that lasted until the next one, it always seemed to reset and snow on bare ground the next time. 2010-2011 changed that, then again in 14-15 for almost 2 full months we had 6-22" snowpack, something that never happens around here. Then again to lesser degree in 2021 Feb 2-22nd we had 6-16" snowpack.

2002-2005 it seemed to snow almost every year in early december in CT around the 5th-9th and then one or two more during the month. That was a good stretch of Dec storms but after that it's been hit or miss

Snowfall totals in CT and the tri-state area. Forecast wasn't great at all. Most got what they expected which was little to nothing but for the areas we forecasted accumulating snow it was signifcantly less than we expected. Only the areas in far northern and northwest ct at elevations greater than 1100/1200 feet got plowable or warning level snowfall but still less than we forecasted. Final Grade: D+

Merry Christmas ya'll Trends remain that the low will be an inside runner with the predominantly rain across the region, with a mix or areas of light snow inland at the onset, quickly going over to all rain. A deep moisture feed from the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico will precede the low with the potential for a moderate rainfall. With increased confidence in a precipitation event probabilities have been increased to likely and categorical Thursday night into Friday across the area. Followed the NBM guidance.