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Everything posted by paulythegun
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
paulythegun replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
For me, the Jan 2000 surprise storm led to over 2 decades of radar hallucinations. Still, no regrets. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
paulythegun replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I was mourning the loss of the squall line tomorrow in my own bitter, bitter way. carry on all! I’ll keep my whining to the panic room. Squall lines are fun though! -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
paulythegun replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
We all should have been smart enough to know that arctic front passages of the kind we’re about to experience (without any sort of clipper wave associated) don’t make it across the mountains in any real way. Talking about tomorrow’s fake snow squall. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
paulythegun replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
paulythegun replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
15z SREF snow mean -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
paulythegun replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
https://x.com/burgwx/status/1746026409972183193?s=46- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
paulythegun replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
What is the precedent for deleting a thread?- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
paulythegun replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
paulythegun replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
18z RGEX XR looks pretty great. Hold onto hope folks!- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
paulythegun replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
The 557ww model also out to sea, though it looks abit closer to the coast than 12z UM, ACCESS-G, and GEOS-5. Reminds me more of the look on 12z ARPEGE- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
paulythegun replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
GEOS-5 (12z) also basically out to sea, joining the ACCESS-G, SPIRE, UM(mmmmmmmmmmmm) models- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
paulythegun replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
hisorically, this has been typical during the ukmet/ecmwf lag between noon and 1pm. unfortunately, CRAS has been discontinued.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
paulythegun replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ummmm.....the UM model is in. Also inland, like ACCESS-G.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
paulythegun replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
ACCESS-G is WAYYY inland. TOSS!- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
paulythegun replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
paulythegun replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Helpful link for everyone: -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
paulythegun replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
paulythegun replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
paulythegun replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
The TPV lobe is way further north on this run (compared to the bad 12z euro run). Good! -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
paulythegun replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Generally speaking, you don't want to see the confluence setup OVER WASHINGTON DC -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
paulythegun replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Haha I hope this trends toward the tpv phasing with the trailing energy -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
paulythegun replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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reverse jinxed it
