dseagull

Its emotional investment. Lol. And I'm not making fun of it. It's like reading a familiar bedtime story. As long as folks realize that it's for entertainment and as a hobby, rather than get lost in it, it's actually pretty darn funny. And the roller coaster is part of the rush for many. The irony is that many folks lose so much sleep leading up to a big threat, that they are totally smoked when a big storm verifies and delivers the goods. I get it... i grew up anxiously waiting for radio updates, then spent hundreds of hours in the early weather channel days waiting for my local on the 8s to update. (I still watch the 96 blizzard videos from TWC on YouTube, with the music bringing me right back... Some of my fondest memories are from the lead-up... more so than the actual storms. Holds true today. I'm an unapologetic weather weenie, and will be until the day I die.

Like asking an alcoholic to take a week off drinking.

Windshield wiper. Back tomorrow at 12z with the goods.

It will wind up being one of those model scenarios where the Euro appears to be sadistically teasing weenies until a day of lead time.

Count your blessings. I got about a half hour of wet slop when on the water a bit ago down here.

Light snow and sleet, soon changing to rain in barnegat inlet.

Running drills right now off barnegat. Little snotty, but still fun.

Good points. It all hinges on CG at battery park having enough room at the docks for me to leave the boat and venture into the city.

Im routing for you city folks on this one. I've never been to the city with big snow on the ground, and have an opportunity to do some training in New York harbor on Saturday with some coworkers. Would be nice to see the city with a foot of snow blanketing the ground.

Have you moved locations? 14/15 was the most severe-col winter i remember with long duration sub freezing since the 80s. I was doing emergency crawlspace pipe repairs for many of my neighbors. People were driving vehicles all over barnegat bay.

Definitely the beginning of a pattern (at least for this part of the season.) I want to see what happens after the cutter materializes.

Kind of. Depends on the audience. 2001 was one of the first "mass hype busts" of that caliber. It literally created the first local media weather memes, or was at least foreshadowing of memes. More recent busts are different, for a lot of reasons in this strange time we live in. Social media is destroying so much. I think most of us would give up all tech advances to return to yesteryear. Net loss of tech and communication. Net gain in regard to everything else. Im not sure forecasting advancements have lead to more preparedness or even accuracy. ...at least not from the perspective of the general public.

Isnt there an automatic 10 day ban for bringing up that bust? Lol

Won't argue with you on that stance. I share it. ...but I'm definitely interested in seeing how it evolves. Isnt like we have the ability to ignore it either way. What it has done for many areas of daily life already is amazing. Unfortunately, the negatives clearly outweigh the positives when influenced by bad actors.

I'm enthusiastic about verification scores, considering it's recent introduction. Even we wind up with broken hearts due to an AI model win, it's a longterm win for forecasting if it can continue to perform on spacial and temporal regularity. Very interesting to enter the wild west of modern forecasting.

Appreciate it. Looking into updates versus large bias failures for the fun of it.

Do you have any recent examples where most of the globals were focused on fairly similar results simultaneously, yet the "EURO'S tucked bias" you mention was shown to be present?

Sign me up with the 28 jackpot

How many of us? Depends on if there's a mass extinction event among weenies when the models break hearts and minds for the 19th/20th storm. Should probably shut down all rooftops and bridges to be safe.

I know better than to get my hopes up for this one. Always wanted to hunt in a blizzard with the dog. Hmmmm

Nothing needs fo be true. It's 2025. Clicks. And the audience is too brain-F'd to even look at past results. We live in a world where sensationalism officially sells more than sex. It's bizarre. It's also sad... but recognizable

And yet it still draws in millions of clicks and views, no matter the topic/truth/scenario. Our society has both a social media and sensationalism addiction. Many people seem to thrive off of "extremes" and drama. No wonder we are such an easily manipulated and controlable species.

Another phenomenal morning of bird hunting. About 5-6 inches of compacted wet snow.

Time to get ready for hunting. Not sure of totals here yet, as I'm dragging azz after walking 15 miles in muck boots hunting yesterday. I will say this... eyeballing out the window, it looks to be close to 6 inches here on barnegat bay.

Ill try to push it up north for you city folk. Almost at the 3 inch mark, which is perfect for hunting. Roads caved big time with my scanner starting to go nuts with accidents in several local PD jurisdictions. I don't need a sketchy early morning commute back west when hunting.