alex

Would not be a bad week if this verified:

4 hours ago, J.Spin said:

Yeah, we are actually behind on seasonal snowfall at our site as I mentioned above.  Mean is ~55” and we’re at ~50”, so of course we’re well within 1 S.D. of the mean and not behind the eight ball, but a shot of snow would at least help keep pace with average.

And LOL at the thread for this potential storm – of course now it’s a POS storm.  I still find it really weird how people “track” the storm through the model runs and somehow project the feeling that the end result is “changing” as the output from the models changes.  Using terms like “losing the storm”, or “it’s gone” really perpetuates this.  The reality is that the end result was always going to be what it ends up being – the model runs were simply suggesting something that wasn’t ever going to occur.  If model runs show nothing and then a modest event pops up out of nowhere, the weenies are positive as if it’s some sort of “win”, but if there are model runs showing a potential larger event that ends up smaller, or as nothing, then it’s doom and gloom and whatever effects ensue due to the nonsense they built up in their heads.

I had never thought about it that way... brilliant! So true. 

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Even I...the ultimate snow lover....would have a hard time getting up for a 2-4" snowfall in early January if I lived in Bethel or somewhere else with similar snow climo. Too bad the more dynamic solutions have been lost....even some of the ones that gave SNE nothing at least were giving 8-10" up north in a wide swath.

I will make sure to post observations every 90 seconds or so. 

Agree. Nobody cares but it's better than rain, and it fits our "nickel and dime" climo

4 hours ago, qg_omega said:

Powder, when was last time snow was this low at the stake?

Lol I just made a similar comment on the train wreck thread for the weekend threat. People somehow talk like NNE has been having a banner year while I think relative to average SNE has been doing much better. 

3 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Hilarious to me. Just yesterday the meteorologist in Connecticut where like. " Oh, this is going to be a good size Snowstorm for Sunday ". The models were showing a fair amount of snow, to today, looks like the snow chances dropped off to just a couple of mood flakes at the end of it on Sunday. I am not sure what's going on, but, last Year started off with what was supposed to be a great pattern for cold and snow and we didn't get it. This year they were saying a much better pattern than last year definitely going to be a good winter for the Northeast for cold and snow. Northern New England has done well so far, but Southern New England to the Mid-Atlantic not good at all. So much for a good winter. I know it's only the beginning of January, but even the 14-day Outlook is way above normal with not much snow chances. I'm sorry for the rant, I'm just frustrated. But whatever, it's just weather LOL

Why are people saying that NNE has done well so far? I'm pretty sure we are running average if not slightly below, while SNE has had a huge month. All relative to climo of course but this does not strike me as a great winter so far up here. 

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol good stuff.  Still time for this to go back to a cutter Alex ha

So true! And if it does, there will be more chances shortly thereafter. 

While everyone is busy jumping off bridges, perhaps we can look at the lesson here - which is what I was trying to say earlier this morning when everyone was so ecstatic about one or two runs of the Euro that they convinced themselves that Euro is king and GFS sucks, and if Euro says it's going to snow, of course it's going to happen and this was one for SNE not NNE - forgetting that 12 hours earlier, the Euro said we were in the bullseye. It's hard to keep emotions out of the forecast for us weather enthusiasts. One algorithm spits out a few inches of snow and all of the sudden that's DEFINITELY  what's going to happen; someone even said "Euro has been steadfast with this" when if you look back it's bounced more than Pam Anderson in an old episode of BayWatch (I know, dating myself). Then they get worked up because PF, JSping and I "steal people's snow" when in reality, we know it's Diane that does it. And in reality, this is NBD for anyone but if anyone is going to get something, of course chances are it's more likely to happen in NNE than SNE, simply because of climatology - just like a lot more things need to go right for it to snow in DC than SNE. Point is... we all need to chill. 

OK, done with my useless assessment, back to watching this new episode of bridge-jumping on my favorite channel, AmWx.  

2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

SNE deserves this one. Our snow. NNE folks sorry 

Climatology is a bitch 

13 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

the models are terrible. Yesterday SNE was poised for rn while NNE was 6+". Now SNE 4-8" while NNE gets grazed.

And the weenies are all "oh yeah and it's definitely happening because the models have been so steady with this" 

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yes..Euro leading the way on this it looks like currently.  It’s holding on to this same idea for a while now.  Interesting is right.

It seems to me if any model has been holding on to the same idea is the GFS. Not saying it's right, but the Euro had like a foot of snow for us 12 hours ago, down to nothing. GFS had 4-5" and still does. I know everyone like to think the model that's right is the one that gives them snow - including myself, but objectively it seems like the Euro has been screwing up just as much as any other model lately 

Winding down after another 0.7", making it 1.1" for the day. 

15 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

Snow globe all day today. Make Winter Great Again

Really, you could get rid of storms and give me a moist NW flow all winter and I'd be just fine!

Another half inch tonight, stake up to 10"

It's pouring snow again

Measured 0.4" from the daytime stuff. Light hi  steady snow continues 

1.8" overnight, 3.2" total from the ULL/upslope part of the storm. Unlike the previous cement, very scenic way to start the year!

Squalls to start 2020. 1.4" so far

14 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

MWN at 27002KT ain't going to cut it for upslope, but once it's 35G50KT in a few hours it'll be a different story.

I have NO idea what any of that means But it sounds good 

10 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Gotta wait for the cold front first. Ginx's WINDEX squalls are on their way.

Kind of worried we didn't play them up enough today for NH.

Oh Yey! It's snowing now but lightly. At least without wind it's actually covering the picnic table

Where the hell is my upslope?

Hard to measure but 3.5" seems a good average for the overnight plus daytime yesterday stuff, bringing the total to 5.9". 8" at the stake

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

So you’re in one of those orographic areas of permanent low CC?

The ghostly face on my house makes me chuckle 

It's like a damn blizzard out there. Snow coming down pretty heavily but it goes in every direction and doesn't stick to anything. I hate wind

We've had just about everything today but stayed well below freezing. Freezing rain has been fairly limited, mostly snow/sleet with some freezing drizzle mixed in. Now a mix of sleet and snow with a really strong wind, makes it very difficult to tell how much we got. It's drifts everywhere 

Just now, #NoPoles said:

Thanks, now I dont need to open my door!

Lol. Wakey Wakey!

2.4" overnight. Dense snow but no sleet or freezing rain. Currently moderate snow 25/15