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roardog

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Everything posted by roardog

  1. roardog
    Yeah. It’s cold and dry right now but at some point there will be accumulating snow again in this subforum while Tampa is 75F. So I can’t get mad about them having flurries. lol
  2. roardog
    Yeah. I mean most posters here enjoy summer outside of thunderstorms, so why does is it surprise people that someone likes winter outside of big snowstorms.
  3. roardog
    Since you’re just looking to experience a big dog, why not travel to where there is one instead of hoping one hits Detroit?
  4. roardog
    Everyone is moving south. Pretty soon they’ll be hardly any of us left. lol
  5. roardog
    I had a -21 on my car this morning. I’ve had it since 2020 and that’s definitely the coldest I’ve seen on it.
  6. roardog
    Decent jump north actually. Doubled the precip total up here.
  7. roardog
    Should I feel guilty for rooting for it? lol
  8. roardog
    The lakes are probably going to form Ice fast over the next week so we might lose a little from that.
  9. roardog
    The posters just wishing for a big storm still have lots of time left. It’s only January.
  10. roardog
    The frost will be pretty deep in the ground in your area. Aren’t you excited about that?
  11. roardog
    It looks like both the 18z euro and euro terminator nudged south.
  12. roardog
    The CFS v2 is pretty much heading toward a super Nino. I’m not sure anything currently indicates that an outcome like that is likely.
  13. roardog
    I remember when we had about 2 inches of sleet in early April 2003 and I can confirm it looks like snow on the ground until you walk on it. I remember it took awhile to melt too even though it was April.
  14. roardog
    Slight bump nw on the RGEM
  15. roardog
    Don’t worry, it’ll be cold NE wind season before you know it while cyclone77 will be basking in 65 degree air. lol
  16. roardog
    I know this doesn’t necessarily mean anything for this particular storm but we have seen NW trends with storms this winter. The storm two weeks ago that no one was paying attention to because it was it was rain and Spring for most of the sub actually trended way NW 48 hours or so prior. It was modeled to go over or south of my house and ended up over northern Lake Michigan I believe. I mentioned something then about how this was the first winter in like 10 years that storms have been trending NW instead of SE.
  17. roardog
    It’s probably because this thread is used for medium/long range pattern prediction while threads in each sub forum are used once an individual threat becomes realistic.
  18. roardog
    I think developing El Niño summers(which we might have this summer) tend to have ridging and heat out there too.
  19. roardog
    Dry is bad this time of year whether it’s warm or cold. Warm and dry here usually consists of temperatures around 35-40 and 30MPH winds. Might as well be cold enough to look like winter when the warm option is still cold. lol
  20. roardog
    I remember the MEI getting to something like -2.3 or something in 2022. I think that’s why that winter acted exactly like how I would picture a super Nina to act.
  21. roardog
    On another note, I noticed the CFS is trying to take us to a very strong Nino next winter. I wonder if it’s on to something or it’s just reactionary to what’s currently happening.
  22. roardog
    I don’t know. When I think front loaded winter, I don’t think of a massive arctic outbreak in late January and possible +PNA going into February.
  23. roardog
    I’m not nearly as knowledgeable as most people here on MJO stuff but the look at the end of the ensembles does not look like a phase 8 or even 7 for that matter to me. It almost looks like it’s moving to something you’d see in 6.
  24. roardog
    Looking at the end of the ensemble runs, it looks like a country wide blowtorch is developing for the end of the month into beginning of Feb as a big blue ball develops from Alaska to the south then moving into the west coast.
  25. roardog
    I didn’t know that. That’s surprising to me. It usually takes until sometime in May for it to be warm enough for dandelions around here. I usually don’t have to cut my lawn until May though either. So I guess NYC is like San Juan compared to here when it comes to plant life. lol
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