Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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2026-2027 El Nino
Maestrobjwa replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
When do you think we'll whether it's gonna be west-based, east-based, or Modoki? -
Alll the shroves of Shrove Tuesday
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Models must've gotten a really good sampling sometimes today--seems they're all in lockstep in the direction they moved.
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All the models except the AIs fell right with the 12 and 18z Euro. Not like we have a whole hodge-podge of solutions tonight--they all moved in the same direction.
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Well @psuhoffman, it may snow on the last week of February every now and then...but unfortunately, the secs/mecs/hecs last week of Feb barrier remains undefeated...(not talking about March, of course)
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Sure looked like the wave got squashed more before trying to amplify
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Including the AIs. Interested to see how they trend tonight...
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Tuesday/Wednesday always seems to be the line of demarcation for weekend threats, doesn't it?
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Probably won't be the only model to shift toward the Euro tonight, lol
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Just the ICON of course...but shift toward the Euro. These waves during ninas have of no concept of personal space
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Little did we know how long we'd be waiting for our next HECS, lol Sheesh
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Nah don't worry all we'll need is 5 west ticks of 500 miles each to reel that baby back in!!!!
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Hence the nickname clown map, lol
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It loves us enough to tell us the truth, lol (except last February). I'd put my bet on it having the right idea...hope not but again...it fits this winter's personality, lol
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Yeah but it's clearly a move toward the Euro. Not sure it's gonna come back west in future runs.
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Yep. 12z Aigfs has had a consolidated vort at hr 102 all this time...18z it's split and is later coming together
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This feels like something that is gonna trend more and more east/develop later and later from this model suite on, smh
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Thought I'd share this here from the NY thread, lol
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Ralph made a good point in tbe other sub...what some guidance shows today is something we've haven't seen all winter: A wound up storm. Have we seen that--just in general--in the last 5-6 months? Suppressed, weak, and shunted has been a more predominant theme than what we see on the AIs. I mean stuff can always change...but I'm starting to believe the idea of winters having a "personality".
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Hey @stormtracker I guess this potential storm is gonna be my thread...lol So Iet me know if/when ya deem it necessary to start one (perhaps if it's still there by Thursday 12z?). I have my doubts but I'll give it a shot
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So a Miller B just (potentially) further south?
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Whenever we play that game--especially in a Nina--we lose. And if other guidance starts showing later as well then then it's in trouble. I'd be kinda stoked if I were NJ or NY though
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I suspected this was gonna be a wave 1 affecting wave 2 situation...
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Gonna be interesting to see if other scenarios pop up, or if it's gonna between a hit and getting shunted.
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Lol...I posted earlier that if this is still a thing by Thursday I'd start the thread in full doubt and probably call it the "Ain't no way..." storm
