Maestrobjwa

Yeah I'm starting to go into a mode of waiting for the blocking to break down to expect anything.

@CAPE I guess this is what I was getting at the other say when I said "too much cold". Deep blocking usually comes with deep cold, doesn't it? And of course...it squashes until it relaxes. So maybe we're tracking a bit too early in this?

Aren't we more likely to cash in when things relax, anyway? The old "not at the beginning of the pattern" rule our big snows seem to follow?

Changed your mind about that first system now haven't ya? Lol

Ah okay.

Why did you think that?

Dang the Euro comes out fast now! And dang to that map too. Welp...they all have a general idea...which is all we can ask for at this range

Now see I had to be an actual pallbearer (first time doing that) for a friend's late wife earlier this month...And as somber as it was, dang it I couldn't help but see this dude's face, hahaha See I was like 6 years old and the only definition of pallbearer I knew was this dude, and it stuck ever since, lol

Hey if it were to happen that way, it would be cold enough for it to stick around

94 was an icy year all the way around, wasn't it? (I have no recollection because I was only like 3, but I heard of what happened with the towers on TV Hill up in Baltimore)

Admittedly I may not have a clear understanding of the dynamics. I think I could be seeing it as "the colder the push the more likely it's suppressed", but I'm gonna guess I'm oversimplifying that?

That's what I was wondering about...I'm having trouble seeing how we can have a legit threat that's not suppressed if it's gonna be as big of a cold push as modeled.

I too am wondering if we need to moderate our expectations for getting snow out of this. Isn't this level of cold that's being modeled more often turm out to be dry/suppressive, historically?

Now how was that one able to work out? Was it able to get under the blocking that we had?

I've been behaving myself so ya can't use that against me anymore. And this discussion is here not the main thread so Miller B ranting is permissable so...no case, sir

Nothing more annoying than seeing that dang low transfer pass gas over central MD with maybe a few pity flakes, and then go off to the races juuuust E/NE Nah give me that S-T-J, southern wave, OR crazy 1996 blocking to force the NS under us )

Nothing more annoying than going through a model run seeing that dang low transfer pass gas over central MD with maybe a few pity flakes, and then go off to the races juuuust E/NE Nah give me that S-T-J, southern wave, OR crazy 1996 blocking to force the NS under us )

Nothing more annoying than going through a model run seeing that dang low transfer pass gas over central MD with maybe a few pity flakes, and then go off to the races juuuust E/NE Nah give me that S-T-J (OR crazy 1996 blocking to force the NS under us )

So that they can freeze over later!

Yeat but that's just it it doesn't work out enough. When was the last time it worked for our yards? I mean if you're going back to 2000 then...lol

Looked so good it brought out even the rare posters?

Oh they'd have a field day in here! Plenty of case studies...(but do you seriously invite them, though?)

"PWAT"? And also...I do question February as I see in the general thread that the nina seems to be a bit of a late bloomer and getting a bit more established. Makes me wonder if that means we see a more typical nina-like February torch or not.

But why though? Lol

You wouldn't expect to hear this from me, but one thing I'm learning about this (haven't mastered it, but slowly getting there): You have to keep the door open. That is, just remember that even if a fantastic setup fails...it's literally okay. Folks, we've been here before. We've had 8 winters of stuff mostly not working out. When it didn't work out, we moaned and groaned for awhile (understandably because we're weenies who really love snow) but then Spring came and we all moved on. So just remember that any potential "fail" that ya fear...if it were to happen there's still another side of it where we're good, man. So for times like now where a future pattern holds potential...keep that "but even if it doesn't we'll be fine and can just punt until whenever" door open. That way you can just observe what it produces without having a meltdown about every little fail scenario. Yeah the fails suck but listen if it goes south, just punt it and disengage. Best thing to do!