Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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An "upper bound"?
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Ah so it is indeed coming in earlier? Interesting
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They do? How about a shout out for us Baltimoreans
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I was just thinking about this the other day...February has been unusually barren over the last 10 years (hopefully that's about to change). It's like every Feb we are punting most if not all of it. That's why already being able to track something to start off February is quite refreshing!
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Seeing as we haven't in a long time...maybe the WDI finally comes through?
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Since you're handing out analog guesses...Hey me next!
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I'd save that question for the end of the season. It's possible that with whatever bonus snow we get through this "torch" period (in between all the mixing, lol), we could get to average. And after that we gotta see if the blocking pattern will produce.
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What was the enso state in 2007?
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Even after all this time ya can't handle fantasy land changes like that?
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Kinda feel like all of these could have some degree of mixy-messy in them. With the blocking still being a couple weeks away it would seem logical that we'd be dancing with the r/s line until then.
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Is it just me or do these storms as modeled look weird? It's like CAD after CAD...or whatever you call it. Like multiple trains of this moisture that's right on the barrier temp-wise. Not sure we've seen anything like that in recent years...
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Welcome to CAD week everyone, lol Cadwick Frozeman!
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I legit looked it up...until I realized he was talking about the Eagles, lol
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Hey look a C MD a jack bubble
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Lol? Translate for those of us that don't read 500mb as well (I'd imagine we down here would like that boundary a tick south?)
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Wait really? How much did you end up getting that year?
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Anybody who tags him obviously enjoys it...seems to be a certain "appetite" for that around here
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Do you think this is too soon as far as having enough cold air for something like a coastal? (Thinking about what a few others have said about the blocking not happening until the next week).
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When it comes to ice, with me being in the city (northern portion of it), I never know how to guage an ice threat beforehand and whether it could actually be a problem even here.
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That isn't Chuck; it's his alter ego Charles
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That's what I thought! Seems they were conflating the two. I still feel like the dep -PDO ruined that. Are there any other analogs to -PDOs screwing with niños, btw?
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I think it was the -PDO. Last year was a legit Niño so I don't recall a SER. But if someone has the plot @psuhoffman?)...Now the year BEFORE? Yes we had a full lat ridge most of that winter, smh Last year the -NAO wasn't even stable. Went deeeeep negative then shot way up.
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This is gettin' old, man. I'd revise that to Baltimore north and east to Havre de Grace! Now, I'd like to believe Feb wavelengths are gonna be better for us (even more for you) than Jan, but that could just be logic, lol
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The SER wasn't last year--I think you're thinking about the year before.
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It's funny how you can logically know it's fantasy range still...but yet seeing a run with one wave missing you south (again) and then the next being warm and north can still annoying the heck out of you because of recent history
