Maestrobjwa

To me, the one "decent" nina post 2016 was the nickel-and-dime winter of 2017-18 where we got 18 inches or so. That year was funny because most of the 1-2 inchers came right during the morning rush and the schools burned through all their snow days despite the small amounts, hahaha I'm my unscientific opinion (yes I have no shortage of those), that would be the top end of possibilities.

Ehh I wouldn't say that...remember, despite all of this, we are doing the first place dance with the Yankees, and nobody else in the AL is running away with it...thus buying us time to get healthy. I'd say that is a more of a blessing than the opposite--we could be in a much worse position right now!

Back in first place baby How we and NY keep copying each other is weird and hilarious, lol

Getting Coulombe and Webb back will help...beyond that you're right. We're gonna need somebody else to step up somehow...at least it looks like we have our new closer.

And so have the top 6 teams in baseball. Now this is from August 8th, but not a tone has changed in terms of winning percentage of these teams. So basically it's been a mid-off since June, lol But that's actually good news--it means we still have time to get our act together!

Wennie hope: Well, if the PDO is a decadal cycle and that would be 10 years...maybe then? (at least it would be worth watching since we don't know if a +PDO period still works or not)

This here. To me, this is the reason enso doesn't matter much to getting better snow chances...until this changes (if it does) there's no point in tracking, no point expecting anything more than what we've gotten in any year since 2016...just plug in a year and you'll get it right, lol Feels like there's nothing left to learn (I mean we've seen the worst with 0.2 inches) and that we've seen everything our winters can (or can't) be since then!

How can ya say that when all of the recent ones have been 2+ years? And in general don't most of them double dip?

So uh...go with the model with the least...rain? Or is it the reverse this time?

Having some serious wind with the thunderstorm here...wind started gusting even before the rain started! Ain't seen the rain go sideways in awhile, lol

I think Vavra is just unfortunate timing when it comes to perception...folks upset about the trade and then that transactional news comes, lol It could be that he's just up here for a day or two just to cover for the Norby vacancy (does Vavra play third?). I've always thought Mayo would be called up after the deadline.

I'm in North East, MD with a full view of the bay all the way to Havre de Grace...and it was the best light show this city dweller has ever seen! Felt like ya needed sunglasses, haha Truly spectacular...how great Thou art

Eh...only way it can be worse than anything we've seen the last several years is just numerically: if we finish with 0.1" or just plain 0"...we already got as low 0.2 in 2022-23! After that there's no worse to be had, hahaha But seriously though, we've basically seen every possible scenario that this winter can be, so no surprises, no new "Hm that could make things interesting/predictable". We've run out of "Oh this could be different"s! Literally exhausted all of those things to a point you can just put up a chart of the last 8 1/2 years, and just pick an outcome. Nothing new. (Side note if the PDO eventually flips again maybe then that can be something to look at since a +PDO isn't on the post 2016 list) Simply put...we already know what's up...been there, done that. For me that's where we're at only reason ya watch is if you're just in it for the science. But if you're watching it looking for anything different than 2017-now, you're wasting your time! In case ya can't tell...I'm kinda done with it. I mean could I be tempted to look this winter? I can't see a scenario where I am, but ya never know. Otherwise, could be better just to let it go and if a flake falls just say "Oh it's snowing--nice!" That and going skiing for the first time

Hey, hey look! My yard won tonight's tiny blob lottery

Yep--Atlantic calendar definitely broken. What's September gonna look like...all red? Lol Oh boy...who knows what having a Cat 5 this early and a basin looking like that this early could mean for the season. There any precedent?

Goodness gracious. Must think it's Sept 1 or something!

Isn't it a bit of a decadal cycle, though? By my count we don't hit 10 years of it until 2027 (not that that makes it feel any better, lol)

Oh for real? But it wasn't an actual "blood moon" so to speak?

Wow! When/where was this?

I find that...the more you try and "prove yourself" online...the worse it gets. I've experienced it on here, and now somewhere less forgiving. People keep saying I'm one way and I try to argue and prove I'm not...but it just doesn't work. I'm too defensive, and I let stuff get to me when I shouldn't. Gotta free myself of other people's opinions even mattering--because opinions are fickle and difficult to change...and most of the time you have no control over them whatsoever.

Nah at BWI asphalt city island this will be the official temperature

You know the weather is trolling when it's clear enough during the day but then it could cloud up just in time for the light show, smh

This is absolutely ridiculous we gotta drive for miles and "chase" because the dang clouds choose this weekend not to quit...insane, smh We are hard-pressed to get anything interesting in our back yards anymore!

I love this, lol (the whole thread is gold, haha)

We are constantly robbed of anything special around here...it's truly unbelievable, smh