mappy

Dry air eating up my snow squall.

Fair. Enjoy!

See. Sunny with dark skies west

Especially when it’s coming from the west, of course it’s still sunny when sun is still mostly east in the sky

Is it not going to impact you? Imma letting it come to me lol

It’s coming

Nice dark clouds to my west.

My guess a transformer. Had a very brief power outage before 7

I’ve been here too long. Not as long as some who go further back to Eastern and a forum before that, but long enough that my mind frame on snow has changed as I have gotten older. I used to live and die by the models, let it impact my day to day mood and such. But hard times in life make you realize some things just aren’t worth letting ruin your day. If it snows great, if it doesn’t…oh well. I’m still watching and hoping but it doesn’t affect me like it used to when we fail.

Snow is serious business. The kind of meltdowns we see during winter, do not happen during severe season. It’s just the love for snow, jebwalks in the snow, getting the most snow. That’s it. Just snow.

Y’all. It’s one model run outcome. Stop with the next shit and all that.

lol don’t ever change

blame waterboy if it fails

its just snow?

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snip from it, reference our storm Recent models remain agreeable with showing shortwave energy pivoting through the southern side of the broad and deep trough serving to form a surface low near the East Coast Tuesday into Wednesday. 12/18Z and now the 00Z model guidance generally shows low pressure developing near the Southeast Coast by early Tuesday, but with some spread in the formation/track that is amplified by the fact that even relatively small differences would have considerable sensible weather differences. With the 12/18Z suite of models, the GEFS and EC mean showed similar low tracks northward across the western Atlantic and a fairly strong system reaching New England or the Canadian Maritimes by early Wednesday. 12/18Z GFS runs were most like the means, so favored that cluster for the WPC forecast. The 12Z and now the 00Z ECMWF deterministic runs are more offshore where hardly any precipitation is onshore of the East Coast. This seems unlikely based on other guidance and the EC ensemble mean and members, but unfortunately the ECMWF-initialized machine learning models did not seem to run for the 12Z cycle, so we lack that piece of information that could help with the model diagnostics. Meanwhile the 12Z CMC showed reasonable alignment in the track though a bit faster than preferred, but now the 00Z CMC has a track considerably inland that would spread rain to some Mid-Atlantic areas. The 00Z GFS also shows differences from its previous runs, with a dual structure to the low early Wednesday with some low pressure hanging near the DelMarVa, and not consolidating until later Wednesday. Overall, the forecast details remain low confidence as the storm track spread is still high.

I don’t think that’s our Dude either

I believe it’s actually a taptalk thing. I remember it did that for me too when I posted from it vs safari

With that said, tomorrow sounds like a good day for a thread.

yall know creating a thread doesn't have a single impact on a storm, right?

That and the early August severe event.

Ha, I never go out in the field. I am very comfortable behind the computer doing my thing LOLOL much like me being told they have GIS data to send, and it's a PDF with layers I have to georeference, then digitize. Sigh. Yay GIS!! It's the best. Right?! NAD27 should just be abolished IMO

hahaha we are talking about coordinate systems. each coordinate system has a geodetic datum, which is the reference used for positioning the earth when locations were collected. Most commonly used is NAD83, which is based on the geodetic reference system of 1980. NAD27 is a totally different ellipse. If you were to plot the same points using each datum, they would not line up exactly, there would be an offset to take into account that change in earth reference position. fun stuff!

It's incredibly annoying hahaha. I will be sent coordinates, but not the system they are in, so it's a guessing game. Always guess feet vs meters first, then narrow down to state plane or utm zones. I never ever check NAD27 systems. It's ancient. Get with the times people.

people who use NAD27 for state plane instead of NAD83 should be maimed. fuck those people.