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mappy

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Everything posted by mappy

  1. SPC overnight outlook seems uncertain for today. lots of the factors in play, which seems par for the course for us around here. If we can get out of the clouds and warm quickly today, it will bode well for us later.
  2. can you provide me with a good link for it? i haven't looked around to see if the paid sites have them or not. appreciate your insight, as always!
  3. you know those are all things we need every time and tend to fail on lol if i was in Scranton, id feel pretty good about seeing some severe tomorrow. ahh, i hadn't looked at either one of those. i've always considered them weenie models (i honestly don't know enough about them) I'd be happy with thunder, I know our chances down here aren't nearly as good as those in PA/NY. But still has a chance to be a fun event to watch unfold, even if we don't get the goods.
  4. it can work out if timing is right. otherwise if storms pop up they tend to become a blob of messiness vs discrete cells
  5. As usual for us down here, its all dependent on how north the warm sector gets before the cold front comes through. Need enough daytime heating and lift, otherwise we see nothing. PA has a better shot because they get the better ingredients near the warm front and the lift.
  6. yeah but its no better in PA. advertises a couple larger cells in NNE PA towards NJ, but that's it. its a very broken line of storms ahead of the front, with nothing popping up out ahead. very weird to see when there is an enhanced risk and strong wording from State college.
  7. LWX seems uncertain in their morning AFD https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off State College though, their AFD is pretty good weenie material https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=CTP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off 06z NAM is pretty boring, so we shall see today brings. But I think the further north you are, the better your chances of seeing something worth a damn. All the best stuff will be in PA
  8. SPC outlook for tomorrow -- enhanced baby! more details soon. HM was tweeting about it last night, worth a look if you're bored.
  9. yes, public schools closed out there today. OU closed too.
  10. they have done well so far. saw a couple tornadoes friday, some structure saturday then traveled yesterday. looks like they will be in the texas panhandled area today. doubtful they head towards OKC.
  11. happy to share! i highly recommend the one where the camcorder was set up inside a house as the tornado passed by. the noise!
  12. also, because its me, today is 20 years since this monster happened. https://www.ustornadoes.com/2019/05/03/may-3-4-1999-tornado-outbreak-and-the-bridge-creek-moore-f5/
  13. some nice storms that blew through the southern areas last night. just fringed up my way. JB shared this yesterday, beautiful pic.
  14. this is a huge problem across the board. my own mother, for a time, didn't even know the difference. however, regarding schools, the State of Maryland Board of Ed needs to make sure their teachers and especially their principals are properly trained to know the correct verbiage and what to do. I hope this is a serious lesson to the school, and the overall county, on properly handling of these situations.
  15. I saw. Lots of discussion earlier this week on why an elementary school in the middle of the tornado warning dismissed the kids anyways. Apparently the warning came out minutes before the dismissal bell rang, and the principal was told yet had the kids leave anyways. really stupid. and FWIW: my daughter's school held the kids until 4pm, even though the warning was south and east.
  16. Missed all the fun including the tornado warned storm over my work. Was sitting in traffic driving back from Montgomery county. Oh well
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