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mappy

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Everything posted by mappy

  1. mappy
    Stuff firing up out west near Cumberland and down to Harrisonburg, so guess we shall see how it all develops. Good luck all
  2. mappy
    lot of CU out west, shame we have stupid clouds now.
  3. mappy
    yeah, but its such a large area under the MD, it's hard to say how great it will be for us. SPC discussion on it isn't super great for us. Current expectations are for thunderstorms to continue developing across the higher terrain of the Appalachians, and perhaps the surface lee trough, as weak ascent associated with an upper trough/low centered over the Great Lakes overspreads the Mid-Atlantic. Convection is already ongoing across parts of PA and western/southern NY, with a measured severe gust recently recorded at KDKK in far western NY. Weaker forcing across the Carolinas casts some uncertainty regarding overall thunderstorm coverage with southward extent. Better mid-level flow around the base of the upper trough/low should tend to remain over the Carolinas through the day. 30-40 kt of deep-layer shear across NC/SC will support some threat for supercells and large hail with initial development. Across the Mid-Atlantic, effective bulk shear should be somewhat weaker, generally in the 20-30 kt range. Mainly multicells/clusters should be the dominant mode across this region, with perhaps isolated/marginal supercells possible. Wherever enough clearing can occur to promote steep low-level lapse rates, a threat for damaging downdraft winds will exist. Multiple corridors of potentially greater coverage of scattered to numerous damaging gusts are evident based on observational and short-term guidance trends. One such possible corridor is across eastern PA into NJ. Multiple Severe Thunderstorm Watches will likely be needed this afternoon across the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas to address the increasing threat for damaging winds and severe hail.
  4. mappy
  5. mappy
    95% watch possible on the new MD just issued by SPC
  6. mappy
    a decaying system always works in our favor, right?
  7. mappy
    75/72 sun out
  8. mappy
    So on the flip side, if they didn't make those comments and it did end up being a really bad severe day, media would never hear the end of the complaints.
  9. mappy
    No problem with dews this morning, 70/69. But its cloudy lol
  10. mappy
    Methinks I won’t be playing softball tomorrow
  11. mappy
    Had a couple rounds of storms yesterday that closely missed, but did hear a few good rumbles of thunder.
  12. mappy
    Woke up to a heavy shower, .29” since midnight, 1.23” since Tuesday, up to 2.11” for June
  13. mappy
    That heavier batch over Olney isn’t moving very quickly.
  14. mappy
    Mark was liking Monday on twitter last night.
  15. mappy
    Eventually my softball season will start, but don't think it will be tonight.
  16. mappy
    .82" since Tuesday, 1.7" for June
  17. mappy
    .53"
  18. mappy
    In Pasadena for the day, just started raining here.
  19. mappy
    adult softball starts this week and of course we enter a potentially rainy pattern, go figure.
  20. mappy
    Happy Father’s Day to all you dads! Have the best day!
  21. mappy
    sun only making an appearance in the last 30 minutes or so up my way, been mostly cloudy all day. didn't rain at work, but home got a little thunderstorm earlier.
  22. mappy
    .34" at home
  23. mappy
    kid confirmed thunder at home, alas i am not there to enjoy it.
  24. mappy
    Missing the thunder at home
  25. mappy
    lol
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