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ForestHillWx

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Everything posted by ForestHillWx

  1. ForestHillWx
    1.5” new out this way.
  2. ForestHillWx
    Moderate snow here in the western outposts. Maybe 1” new.
  3. ForestHillWx
    Nice light snow fall. Peaceful. Side note, with the cold temps I’ve lost count of how many days of snow cover the yard has been under; sneaky winter look for the month it seems.
  4. ForestHillWx
    Light snow chester. Came home from work to at least 1.5” on the driveway from this mornings effort.
  5. ForestHillWx
    The models for the week+ continue to show a hard cut-off by me. The 700 map shows some incredible forcing; to the west of that should be some good sucker hole. I expect to be in the subsidence zone.
  6. ForestHillWx
    Someone should link the forum in a tweet to him. Who knows, maybe he’s already amongst us?
  7. ForestHillWx
    Light to occasional moderate snow, fine flakes. .25” and counting.
  8. ForestHillWx
    @North and West I think 4-6/6-8 for Morris County, lower totals out my way. Plowable likely. I have .25” now, with light snow. I’ll be honest that I didn’t see this morning snizzle.
  9. ForestHillWx
    For we in the north and west, impressive moves in the most recent runs, yet the inner weenie screaming inside can’t help but notice the 20” drop off from NYC out to Bridgewater on the NAM. I mean, that’s about 25 miles as the crow flies; highlights the sharp-cut off that has been modeled for days. Oh well you guys East are going to get crushed!!! I want to see a “mother of god” post; it’s been too long. ….back to containing the weenie thoughts internally.
  10. ForestHillWx
    Walts been noticeably absent from the discussion. I hope he’s ok and just overwhelmed with working this storm.
  11. ForestHillWx
    I’m at 4. This is the 3rd time this month bottoming out at 4; thought I had a shot at sub-zero, maybe next cold shot.
  12. ForestHillWx
    What I can’t understand is everyone lambasting the Euro for showing a snowier solution. What about tossing the GFS for being a strung out mess or the Ukie for that matter? All models have strengths, and weaknesses but they aren’t gospel; they are just tools. -End rant.
  13. ForestHillWx
    Toaster baths for most; borderline unreadable.
  14. ForestHillWx
    Fun times when I was up there during college. Duffy’s tavern, a few other places, had some tasty beverages when looking out over a frozen paradise.
  15. ForestHillWx
    Slight negative title should lead to earlier capture and more tucked for us in western NJ
  16. ForestHillWx
    North and west (I live in southwest Morris) has always been subject to a hard cut-off; every model depicts it. I’m starting with that mindset and will adjust as necessary. Happy hunting to those further East.
  17. ForestHillWx
    There’s a certain level of catharsis exhibited in some of the more prolific posts; every storm it never fails. Model jumping, and then projecting the worst outcome each time, with the underlying hope that said poster is wrong.
  18. ForestHillWx
    Interesting article, however it quite clearly says it’s a hypothesis. The additional tweets bluewave posted support the contention that the ssts do have an effect on storms; understood. But again based on the graph published this morning the ssts are 0.5 degrees above historical averages. My point is that there are more factors then sst anomaly’s involved in snow totals, etc. Not trying to derail the thread, but wanted to respond.
  19. ForestHillWx
    What evidence is there that the Gulf Stream is slowing down? I just think the sst anomaly is being given too much weight in the potential to increase snow totals when compared to a multitude of other factors.
  20. ForestHillWx
    Re: SST anomaly, the chart bluewave posted this morning showed 0.5C above historical norms. According to NOAA the bouy for Cape May had 36.7 F and Sandy Hook 34.9F today (too lazy to do conversions). Not sure it has the same effect as 24C+ water in the late summer when dealing with tropical systems in terms of “fuel”. Granted I will take any infusion of moisture possible being in the western zone.
  21. ForestHillWx
    Hahah, now I feel old.
  22. ForestHillWx
    17 currently. Nice string of sub freezing weather.
  23. ForestHillWx
    4 degrees. Tied my lowest got this winter. Sub zero are not too far north based on wunderground. I wonder if I can make a run at it next cold shot.
  24. ForestHillWx
    9 currently. Pond hockey in town in full swing. The town sledding hill not so much, but at least the skating is good for the kids this year.
  25. ForestHillWx
    Winter cancel? Get the garden prepped early this year. (Some sarc as it’s mid-January).
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